NBA · 3 months ago

2025 NBA Finals: Thunder vs Pacers Game 3 Most Bet Player Props

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2025 NBA Finals: Thunder vs Pacers Game 3 Most Bet Player Props

After a dominant Game 2 response, the Oklahoma City Thunder head east looking to ride their momentum and keep the Indiana Pacers off-balance in what’s shaping up to be a fast-paced, high-intensity Game 3. BetMGM’s most bet player props for this Finals clash lean heavily on key trends—playoff scoring leaders, matchup inefficiencies, and sharp minutes-based unders. With the series tied 1-1, let’s break down the most popular props on the board.

NBA Finals Betting Guide

4-5 Star Bets: Picks Page | Props Page

Top Props: Game 3 | Best Bets: Game 3 | SGP | Series

Thunder vs Pacers Game 3 Info & Where to Watch

Location: Gainbridge FieldHouse
Where to Watch: ABC
Where to Stream: Fubo, ABC.com, ESPN App
Follow: SportsGrid App (Google Play Store or Apple Store)
Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
Spread: Thunder -5 | Total: 228
Moneyline: Thunder -215 | Pacers +180

Odds subject to change. Get your latest odds here.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to Score First Field Goal (+525)

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander wasted no time setting the tone in Game 1, cashing this exact prop by knocking down the game’s first bucket and finishing the opening quarter with five field goals. He cooled slightly with just two makes in the first quarter of Game 2, but the early usage remains consistent. With SGA averaging 36.0 PPG on 49% shooting in the Finals and 39.0 PPG in two regular-season meetings vs. Indiana, he continues to be the focal point early and often. At +525, this is a sharp-value swing on a player with the volume and role to strike fast.

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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 34.5 Points (-125)

This line is a classic example of perception vs. number. Yes, SGA won the NBA scoring title (32.7 PPG) and is putting up 30.4 PPG in the playoffs, but he’s only gone over 34.5 points once in the last three games. With Indiana likely ramping up traps and secondary help, there’s a strong case for the under—especially in a series where the Thunder could lean more on depth to pace minutes across a potential seven-game grind.

OKC vs IND Odds & Predictions, Free Picks, Prop Bets Today & Injury Updates

T.J. McConnell Under 13.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-135)

T.J. McConnell has been a steady bench contributor, but this combo line feels inflated. He’s averaging 10.0 PPG, 2.0 RPG, and 5.0 APG in the Finals—just 17 combined PRA in two games, right at this line’s ceiling. His postseason averages (8.6/3.0/4.1) and his modest role as a second-unit ball-handler make this a tight window. With OKC’s pressure defense forcing a postseason-best 17.3 turnovers per game, McConnell may struggle to create clean looks or rack up assists with his usual efficiency.

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Thomas Bryant Under 1.5 Rebounds (+105)

This one’s all about opportunity—or lack thereof. Thomas Bryant has been an afterthought in the rotation, averaging just 9.6 minutes and 1.6 RPG in the postseason. Through two games against OKC in these Finals, he’s pulled down just one rebound total. His regular-season average of 3.8 RPG was inflated by sporadic big-minute games, and against a Thunder team that rarely misses, there just aren’t enough clean board chances to justify this over. At plus money, the under is the sharp side.

Pascal Siakam Over 19.5 Points (-125)

While Pascal Siakam hasn’t exploded offensively in this series, he’s hovering right around this number with 17.0 PPG through two games—and the signs point to a Game 3 breakout. He averaged 20.6 PPG in these playoffs and has been a high-usage option all year (20.2 PPG in the regular season). Despite shooting struggles, he’s still taking volume shots and could benefit if Indiana gets out in transition or forces OKC into foul trouble. With the line tucked just under his season-long average, the over feels reachable with even a modest efficiency bump.