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NBA · 7 months ago

2025 NBA Playoffs: Timberwolves vs Warriors Game 3 Most Bet Player Props

Sportsgrid Staff

Host · Writer

As the Minnesota Timberwolves and Golden State Warriors prepare for a pivotal Game 3, the betting public has made its voice heard through BetMGM’s most bet player props by ticket count. Notably, four of the top five most wagered props are unders, highlighting where bettors expect regression or matchup struggles to take hold. Here’s a breakdown of why each prop is drawing so much action.

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Most Bet Timberwolves at Warriors  Player Props (Tickets)

  • Julius Randle under 1.5 three-pointers -145
  • Naz Reid over 11.5 points -125
  • Julius Randle under 5.5 assists -130
  • Rudy Gobert under 10.5 rebounds -140
  • Jimmy Butler under 6.5 assists -140

MIN vs GS Odds & Predictions, Free Picks, Prop Bets Today & Injury Updates

Julius Randle Under 1.5 Threes (-145)

Julius Randle hasn’t been a reliable perimeter threat this season, and that trend has carried over into the postseason. He averaged just 1.6 made threes per game during the regular season and dipped to 1.5 in four games against the Warriors. His long-range shooting hasn’t improved much in these playoffs, averaging just 1.7 per game. With Golden State typically doing well at limiting spot-up shooting from bigs, bettors are backing the under heavily here.

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Naz Reid Over 11.5 Points (-125)

Naz Reid remains one of the Timberwolves’ most efficient bench scorers, and with his minutes consistently solidified, the over on his point total has gained steam. Reid posted 14.2 PPG in the regular season and still put up 12.6 PPG in the playoffs despite reduced touches. Against Golden State, he managed 12.5 PPG during the regular season. If the Warriors sell out to contain Anthony Edwards, Reid could thrive in open space, making this a solid value over bet.

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Julius Randle Under 5.5 Assists (-130)

Randle’s playmaking doesn’t often spike against the Warriors, and bettors expect that trend to continue. While he averaged 4.7 assists per game in the regular season and 5.6 in these playoffs, that number dropped to just 3.8 APG in four meetings with Golden State. The Warriors’ perimeter defense tends to cut off drive-and-kick passing lanes, which limits Randle’s distribution opportunities. The matchup-specific drop-off helps explain the popularity of the under.

Rudy Gobert Under 10.5 Rebounds (-140)

Rudy Gobert’s rebounding numbers have dipped slightly in the postseason, where he’s averaging 9.9 boards per game, down from 10.9 in the regular season. In four regular-season games vs. the Warriors, he managed a slightly better 11.5 RPG, but bettors are still anticipating a sub-11 effort. Golden State’s pace and spacing often pull Gobert out of prime rebounding position, especially when they run smaller lineups. That stylistic clash makes the under a popular play.

Jimmy Butler Under 6.5 Assists (-140)

Jimmy Butler has maintained relatively stable assist production through the playoffs, averaging 5.1 APG after a 5.4 regular season mark. However, he’s hovered around 6.0 APG in this series, and the line at 6.5 represents a peak that he hasn’t consistently cleared. Bettors are clearly viewing this as a ceiling performance bet and are fading Butler’s ability to sustain a playmaking-heavy role in what projects to be a tighter Game 3 contest.

*All BetMGM Data is based on tickets and straight bets