NCAAF · 3 months ago

College Football Week 1: Predicting the Outcomes of Every Top 25 Game

Grant White

Host · Writer

(6) Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. (10) Miami Hurricanes
- Stadium: Hard Rock Stadium
- Location: Miami Gardens, FL
- Time: Sunday, 7:30 p.m. ET
- Spread: ND -2.5 | Total: 49.5
- Moneyline: ND -137 | MIAMI +114
Notre Dame doesn't believe in starting easy, and that will be their undoing in Week 1. Miami makes its presence felt and captures the country's attention.

Predicted Outcome: Miami 24 - Notre Dame 20
(25) Boise State Broncos vs. South Florida Bulls
- Stadium: Raymond James Stadium
- Location: Tampa, FL
- Time: Thursday, 5:30 p.m. ET
- Spread: BOISE -5.5 | Total: 62.5
- Moneyline: BOISE -220 | USF +180
Boise State has a poor track record of starting slowly and overlooking opponents. South Florida stuns the reigning Group of Five playoff representatives.

Predicted Outcome: South Florida 35 - Boise State 32
Western Illinois Leathernecks vs. (12) Illinois Fighting Illini
- Stadium: Memorial Stadium
- Location: Champaign, IL
- Time: Friday, 7:30 p.m. ET
- Spread: ILL -45.5 | Total: 63.5
- Moneyline: N/A
It was nice of Western Illinois to step up, but this is just a formality.

Predicted Outcome: Illinois 48 - Western Illinois 10
(1) Texas Longhorns vs. (3) Ohio State Buckeyes
- Stadium: Ohio Stadium
- Location: Columbus, OH
- Time: Saturday, 12:00 p.m. ET
- Spread: OHIO ST -2.5 | Total: 47.5
- Moneyline: OHIO ST -126 | TEXAS +105
Inarguably, Ohio State versus Texas is the premier matchup of Week 1. Home-field advantage should propel the defending champs to a late-game comeback.

Predicted Outcome: Ohio State 23 - Texas 21
Syracuse Orange vs. (24) Tennessee Volunteers
- Stadium: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
- Location: Atlanta, GA
- Time: Saturday, 12:00 p.m. ET
- Spread: TENN -13.5 | Total: 50.5
- Moneyline: TENN -610 | SYR +440
This non-conference showdown should sail over the total. But we like Syracuse's chances of stunning the Vols.

Predicted Outcome: Syracuse 42 - Tennessee 38
Old Dominion Monarchs vs. (20) Indiana Hoosiers
- Stadium: Memorial Stadium
- Location: Bloomington, IN
- Time: Saturday, 12:30 p.m. ET
- Spread: INDIANA -23.5 | Total: 54.5
- Moneyline: INDIANA -2800 | ODU +1160
Don't be fooled, Indiana is for real. Hoosiers lead from start to finish.

Predicted Outcome: Indiana 35 - Old Dominion 14
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. (2) Penn State Nittany Lions
- Stadium: Beaver Stadium
- Location: University Park, PA
- Time: Saturday, 3:30 p.m. ET
- Spread: PENN ST -44.5 | Total: 57.5
- Moneyline: N/A
Penn State's march toward a National Championship starts with a convincing win.

Predicted Outcome: Penn State 38 | Nevada 0
Marshall Thundering Herd vs. (5) Georgia Bulldogs
- Stadium: Sanford Stadium
- Location: Athens, GA
- Time: Saturday, 3:30 p.m. ET
- Spread: GEORGIA -39.5 | Total: 55.5
- Moneyline: N/A
Georgia has nothing to worry about in their season-opener, but Marshall could keep it closer than anticipated.

Predicted Outcome: Georgia 41 - Marshall 14
(8) Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Florida State Seminoles
- Stadium: Doak Campbell Stadium
- Location: Tallahassee, FL
- Time: Saturday, 3:30 p.m. ET
- Spread: BAMA -13.5 | Total: 50.5
- Moneyline: BAMA -550 | FSU +400
Alabama could be caught off guard by an FSU squad looking to reclaim its pedestal in the ACC. Still, Bama closes late.

Predicted Outcome: Alabama 27 - Florida State 24
South Dakota Coyotes vs. (22) Iowa State Cyclones
- Stadium: Jack Trice Stadium
- Location: Ames, IA
- Time: Saturday, 3:30 p.m. ET
- Spread: IOWA ST -14.5 | Total: 47.5
- Moneyline: IOWA ST -720 | SOUTH DAKOTA +500
Iowa State is in a troublesome scheduling spot. Nevertheless, South Dakota poses little threat.

Predicted Outcome: Iowa State 22 - South Dakota 10
Montana State Bobcats vs. (7) Oregon Ducks
- Stadium: Autzen Stadium
- Location: Eugene, OR
- Time: Saturday, 4:00 p.m. ET
- Spread: OREGON -11.5 | Total: 55.5
- Moneyline: OREGON -420 | MONTANA STATE +320
The Oregon Ducks can't take the Bobcats too lightly, and that's reflected in the spread. Still, Oregon holds off for a close win.

Predicted Outcome: Oregon 35 - Montana State 27
Illinois State Redbirds vs. (18) Oklahoma Sooners
- Stadium: Memorial Stadium
- Location: Norman, OK
- Time: Saturday, 4:00 p.m. ET
- Spread: OKLAHOMA -36.5 | Total: 60.5
- Moneyline: N/A
Oklahoma has a lot to prove this season. Unfortunately, there will still be doubters after Week 1.

Predicted Outcome: Oklahoma 42 - Illinois State 15
Long Island University Sharks vs. (15) Florida Gators
- Stadium: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
- Location: Gainesville, FL
- Time: Saturday, 7:00 p.m. ET
- Spread: FLORIDA -45.5 | Total: 55.5
- Moneyline: N/A
What the hell is Long Island thinking?

Predicted Outcome: Florida 62 - Long Island 3
North Dakota Fighting Hawks vs. (17) Kansas State Wildcats
- Stadium: Bill Snyder Family Stadium
- Location: Manhattan, KS
- Time: Saturday, 7:00 p.m. ET
- Spread: K-STATE -25.5 | Total: 55.5
- Moneyline: K-STATE -4000 | NORTH DAKOTA +1400
This was terrible scheduling on Kansas State's part. North Dakota pulls off the stunner of the weekend.

Predicted Outcome: North Dakota 24 - Kansas State 20
UTSA Roadrunners vs. (19) Texas A&M Aggies
- Stadium: Kyle Field
- Location: College Station, TX
- Time: Saturday, 7:00 p.m. ET
- Spread: TX A&M -24.5 | Total: 57.5
- Moneyline: TX A&M -2800 | UTSA +1160
Texas A&M doesn't deserve this kind of respect, but they should pull off a convincing win.

Predicted Outcome: Texas A&M 35 - UTSA 14
(9) LSU Tigers vs. (4) Clemson Tigers
- Stadium: Memorial Stadium
- Location: Clemson, SC
- Time: Saturday, 7:30 p.m. ET
- Spread: CLEMSON -3.5 | Total: 57.5
- Moneyline: CLEMSON -166 | LSU +138
Being the best team in the ACC is still a long way from being a contending team in the SEC.

Predicted Outcome: LSU 28 - Clemson 20
New Mexico Lobos vs. (14) Michigan Wolverines
- Stadium: Michigan Stadium
- Location: Ann Arbor, MI
- Time: Saturday, 7:30 p.m. ET
- Spread: MICHIGAN -34.5 | Total: 49.5
- Moneyline: N/A
We're still waiting for New Mexico to compete against MWC squads. Michigan cruises.

Predicted Outcome: Michigan 42 - New Mexico 3
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. (23) Texas Tech Red Raiders
- Stadium: Jones AT&T Stadium
- Location: Lubbock, TX
- Time: Saturday, 7:30 p.m. ET
- Spread: N/A Total: N/A
- Moneyline: N/A
This is Texas Tech's time to shine, but it won't alleviate any defensive concerns.

Predicted Outcome: Texas Tech 48 - Arkansas-Pine Bluff 24
Georgia State Panthers vs. (21) Ole Miss Rebels
- Stadium: Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
- Location: Oxford, MS
- Time: Saturday, 7:45 p.m. ET
- Spread: OLE MISS -35.5 | Total: 60.5
- Moneyline: N/A
Ole Miss has some holes to fill this season, and this is no softball matchup.

Predicted Outcome: Ole Miss 42 - Georgia State 20
East Texas A&M Lions vs. (16) SMU Mustangs
- Stadium: Gerald J. Ford Stadium
- Location: Dallas, TX
- Time: Saturday, 9:00 p.m. ET
- Spread: SMU -48.5 | Total: 62.5
- Moneyline: N/A
SMU has to prove that last year wasn't a fluke. A showdown versus East Texas A&M is the season-opener the Mustangs needed.

Predicted Outcome: SMU 42 - East Texas A&M 23
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks vs. (11) Arizona State Sun Devils
- Stadium: Mountain America Stadium
- Location: Tempe, AZ
- Time: Saturday, 10:00 p.m. ET
- Spread: ASU -28.5 | Total: 52.5
- Moneyline: ASU -10000 | Northern Arizona +3000
Arizona State has the tools to compete for a playoff spot. Bettors still won't buy in after a Week 1 romp.

Predicted Outcome: Arizona State 55 - Northern Arizona 10
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. (13) South Carolina Gamecocks
- Stadium: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
- Location: Atlanta, GA
- Time: Sunday, 3:00 p.m. ET
- Spread: SOUTH CAROLINA -7.5 | Total: 52.5
- Moneyline: SOUTH CAROLINA -310 | V-TECH +245
South Carolina's best chance at competing was last season. Virginia Tech could catch them off guard, but the Gamecocks should eke out a win.

Predicted Outcome: South Carolina 27 - Virginia Tech 24
(6) Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. (10) Miami Hurricanes
- Stadium: Hard Rock Stadium
- Location: Miami Gardens, FL
- Time: Sunday, 7:30 p.m. ET
- Spread: ND -2.5 | Total: 49.5
- Moneyline: ND -137 | MIAMI +114
Notre Dame doesn't believe in starting easy, and that will be their undoing in Week 1. Miami makes its presence felt and captures the country's attention.

Predicted Outcome: Miami 24 - Notre Dame 20
(25) Boise State Broncos vs. South Florida Bulls
- Stadium: Raymond James Stadium
- Location: Tampa, FL
- Time: Thursday, 5:30 p.m. ET
- Spread: BOISE -5.5 | Total: 62.5
- Moneyline: BOISE -220 | USF +180
Boise State has a poor track record of starting slowly and overlooking opponents. South Florida stuns the reigning Group of Five playoff representatives.

Predicted Outcome: South Florida 35 - Boise State 32

College Football Week 1: Predicting the Outcomes of Every Top 25 Game

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