Notre Dame vs Georgia Sugar Bowl 2025 CFP SGP +601

Dive into expert analysis, betting tips, and predictions for the Notre Dame vs Georgia Sugar Bowl, including SGP strategies for the big game.

Sugar Bowl Betting Previews

ND-UGA Best Bets | ND-UGA Top Player Props

Leg 1: Georgia Bulldogs Moneyline (-111)

Spread: Georgia -1.5 | Moneyline: Georgia -111 | Total: 45.5

The Allstate Sugar Bowl presents a fascinating showdown between the Fighting Irish and the Bulldogs. The last time these two met, back in 2019, Georgia emerged victorious with a 23-17 win. In fact, under Kirby Smart, the Bulldogs are 2-0 against Notre Dame and hold a perfect 3-0 record in the all-time series.

Riley Leonard’s mobility for the Irish is the key concern for the Bulldogs. Georgia has struggled against mobile quarterbacks this season, as evidenced by its lackluster performance against Georgia Tech. However, with ample time to prepare, I expect Smart’s defense to be far more disciplined and ready for the challenge. This is not the kind of game where a Smart-coached team will come out flat.

While doubts swirl around the Bulldogs—especially with first-time starter Gunner Stockton leading the offense—they thrive when underestimated and pushed to the side. Smart has a proven record in these high-pressure spots, and I trust him more than Marcus Freeman in coaching matchups. Notre Dame’s track record in games like this only adds to my confidence in Georgia to rise to the occasion.

Leg 2: Riley Leonard UNDER 175.5 Passing Yards (-114)

This one’s a straightforward call for me: I just don’t trust Riley Leonard as a passer. I didn’t during his time with Duke, and I don’t now at Notre Dame. Leonard will undoubtedly rely on his legs to make an impact in this matchup—that’s his bread and butter—but I’m far less sold on his ability to get it done through the air. With neither team likely to fall significantly behind, I don’t see Leonard being forced into a situation where he needs to air it out frequently. That lack of urgency in the passing game only reinforces my confidence in this betting angle.

Leg 3: Trevor Etienne OVER 84.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

If you snagged this number when it opened around 70, congrats—you got in at the sweet spot. Even with the number climbing, there’s still plenty of reason to feel confident backing Trevor Etienne to deliver a big night. The absence of Rylie Mills, Notre Dame’s key run-stopper, only adds to my confidence in Etienne’s ability to shine in this matchup. 

Yes, Etienne’s dealt with some injuries this season, but when he’s been healthy and in the lineup, he transforms the Bulldogs’ offense into an entirely different group. The proof is in the pudding. He’s already hit this mark twice in high-stakes matchups against the Texas Longhorns, one of the top run defenses in the nation. With that track record, I’m looking toward Etienne to deliver another standout performance this Wednesday.

Leg 4: Jeremiyah Love UNDER 67.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Jeremiyah Love’s stat line against Indiana in the College Football Playoff looks impressive at first glance, but his explosive 98-yard touchdown run largely props it up. While that kind of playmaking deserves respect, I don’t see him replicating that success against Georgia’s formidable defensive front. After that massive run, Love managed just 10 rushing yards the rest of the game. Sure, the Irish’s big lead limited him to only eight carries, but I don’t anticipate the Bulldogs’ defense giving him room to break off multiple big plays. This defensive line means business, and although he’ll likely get the volume, I expect his yards per carry to stay on the lower side in this matchup.

4-Leg Same Game Parlay: +601

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