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NFL · 10 months ago

Jalen Hurts Primed to Eclipse Rushing Prop vs. Commanders

Sportsgrid Staff

Host · Writer

As the Philadelphia Eagles prepare to take on the Washington Commanders, the focus is once again on quarterback Jalen Hurts and his rushing yards prop. Set at 31.5 in most markets, and even 30.5 in some, bettors are left to decide whether Hurts can go over this number. Let’s break down the key factors and why this prop is one of the more intriguing bets of the week.

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The Number: 31.5 Rushing Yards

Jalen Hurts’ rushing yards prop has hovered around 31.5, a number he’s consistently surpassed since Week 9, with the exception of one game against the Baltimore Ravens. In that matchup, Hurts fell just short with 29 rushing yards, a testament to Baltimore’s elite run defense. This week, Hurts faces a much softer matchup against the Washington Commanders, a team that has struggled to contain mobile quarterbacks.

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Why the Over Makes Sense

Bet: Jalen Hurts Over 31.5 Rushing Yards

Here are the key reasons to back the over:

  1. Recent Form: Hurts has gone over this number in every game since Week 9, barring one.

  2. Matchup Advantage: The Commanders have been vulnerable against mobile quarterbacks, making this a favorable spot for Hurts.

  3. Health Factor: Reports suggest Hurts is healthy, and if the Eagles call designed runs early, it’s a strong indicator he’s ready to use his legs.

  4. Game Script: The Eagles are likely to mix in designed runs for Hurts to keep the Commanders’ defense honest.

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Key Considerations: Watch the First Quarter

For bettors, the first quarter will be crucial in assessing Hurts’ rushing potential. If the Eagles utilize Hurts in designed runs early, it’s a clear sign his knee is healthy and he’s ready to exploit the Commanders’ defensive weaknesses. Conversely, if Hurts doesn’t run in the first quarter, it could indicate a more cautious approach due to lingering health concerns.

Live Betting Opportunity: This is one of the more intriguing live-betting scenarios. Monitor Hurts’ early rushing attempts and adjust your bets accordingly. If he looks comfortable and aggressive in the first quarter, the over becomes even more appealing.

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Commanders vs. Mobile Quarterbacks

The Washington Commanders have consistently struggled to contain mobile quarterbacks, making this a prime spot for Hurts to capitalize. Their defensive struggles against the run only amplify the potential for Hurts to break off a big gain, similar to last week’s performance when he rushed for 70 yards, largely thanks to one explosive run.

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Final Thoughts

Jalen Hurts’ rushing yards prop of 31.5 feels like a strong play for bettors, given his recent form, the favorable matchup, and the Eagles’ game plan. Keep a close eye on the first quarter to gauge his health and the team’s approach. With the Commanders’ vulnerabilities against mobile quarterbacks, Hurts has a great chance to hit the over and continue his streak of impressive rushing performances. Bet the over and watch as Hurts proves once again why he’s one of the most dynamic quarterbacks in the NFL.

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