NFL Most Bet Season Long Props: Make or Miss Playoffs

As we shift into preseason mode, NFL bettors are already flooding the 2025 season prop markets — and playoff futures are the most popular bets on the board. From sleeper picks like the Chicago Bears and New York Giants to controversial fades like the Detroit Lions and San Francisco 49ers, the betting action shows where the public is leaning and which teams could become a problem for sportsbooks. Handle percentages and ticket volume highlight the biggest playoff liabilities, with sharp and casual money clashing across conferences.

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Most Bet Playoff Odds: Public Believes in Bears, Broncos & Steelers

(Highest Total Tickets – Any Playoff Market)

• Chicago Bears
• Pittsburgh Steelers
• Denver Broncos

The public can’t stop betting on these three teams to be in the postseason mix. The Chicago Bears’ appeal is tied to second-year quarterback Caleb Williams, the 2024 No. 1 overall pick, who enters his sophomore campaign with a stronger offensive line and more weapons. The Pittsburgh Steelers, bolstered by the arrival of Aaron Rodgers and Mike Tomlin’s record 18-season streak without a losing record, continue to attract faith. The Denver Broncos are trending as well, with Bo Nix aiming to build on his Rookie of the Year-caliber 2024 and a free agent class that added Dre Greenlaw, Talanoa Hufanga, and Evan Engram.

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Most Bet to MAKE the Playoffs (Tickets): Value Picks Galore

• Bears (+155)
• Steelers (+140)
• Broncos (-140)

These odds are tempting both casual fans and sharp bettors. Chicago and Pittsburgh sit in plus-money territory, and both have young QBs and momentum. Denver’s -140 price implies playoff expectations — and bettors are backing it. The value window could close if these teams get hot out of the gate, making early prop plays potentially sharp moves.

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Most Bet to MAKE the Playoffs (Handle): Big Money Hits Underdogs

• Vikings (-115)
• Steelers (+140)
• Giants (+750)

Bigger bets are coming in on three different tiers of contenders. The Minnesota Vikings may have the highest ceiling after handing the offense to JJ McCarthy and spending nearly $300 million in free agency to bolster both sides of the ball. Pittsburgh also appears again, showing crossover between casual and high-stakes bets. But the surprise is the New York Giants: despite their long odds, bettors are taking shots on veteran pivot Russell Wilson and rookie Jaxson Dart as the G-Men aim to surprise in the NFC East.

Most Bet to MISS the Playoffs (Tickets): Fade the Favorites

• Lions (+165)
• Saints (-800)
• 49ers (+150)

The public isn’t afraid to bet against last year’s contenders. The Detroit Lions — despite a 15-2 regular season — are seeing the most “miss the playoffs” tickets. Losing key secondary players like Carlton Davis III may have shaken the team’s confidence on defense. The San Francisco 49ers are also a hot fade as injuries pile up and core veterans depart. Meanwhile, the New Orleans Saints are the most polarizing; Derek Carr’s retirement leaves a three-way quarterback battle, and fans remain unconvinced about New Orleans’ postseason upside.

Most Bet to MISS the Playoffs (Handle): Sharps Target Unstable Depth Charts

• Saints (-800)
• Panthers (-350)
• Lions (+165)

Bigger money is targeting chaos. Saints props are taking in the most handle to miss the postseason, with uncertainty at quarterback (Tyler Shough vs. Spencer Rattler vs. Jake Haener) creating concern. The Carolina Panthers — while building around Bryce Young — lost key veterans on defense and still look a year away. The Lions’ inclusion here reinforces that some sharp bettors believe 2024 may have been their peak.