NFL Week 11 Predictions | Sunday Picks Today, Best Bets
Grant White
Host · Writer
We are officially in the second half of the 2024 NFL season. While the prospect of eventually running out of football is disheartening, bettors have a ton of action to look forward to. Division races are heating up, and most teams still have their eyes set on a postseason berth. That starts with a loaded Week 10 schedule.
We’ve got you covered for betting purposes, highlighting our favorite wagers for this week’s NFL action.
Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers
Spread: Ravens -3 (-120) | Steelers +3 (-102)
Moneyline: Ravens -168 | Steelers +142
Total: OVER 48.5 (-105) | UNDER 48.5 (-115)
Most bettors haven’t given the Pittsburgh Steelers a fair crack all season. The oft-maligned Russell Wilson was expected to be the demise of the Steelers, but the nine-time Pro Bowl quarterback has elevated their offense since taking over a few weeks into the season. Pittsburgh will need him to be at his best for the Steelers to keep pace with the high-octane Baltimore Ravens.
Baltimore’s success has been driven by their offense, but they’ll be tested in Week 11. The Ravens have the top-ranked total and scoring offense, relying on Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry to set up the pass game via the run; however, they’ll be running into the strength of the Steelers’ defense. Pittsburgh gives up just 87.1 rushing yards per game, the fourth-fewest in the NFL. Moreover, they have the second-ranked scoring defense, giving up just 16.2 points per game.
Moreover, the Ravens don’t possess the defensive structure they once did. Opponents are moving freely against Baltimore, and Wilson will have the Steelers ready to go. Pittsburgh is averaging 382.3 yards per game over their past three, resulting in at least 26 points each time out.
For the second-straight week, the Steelers are decisive underdogs. We expect them to respond as they did last weekk, covering the spread versus the hated Ravens. Steelers backers in PA should check out the in-state promo offers.
Recommended Play: Steelers +3 -102
NFL DFS: Ranking the Must-Play Defense Matchups for Week 11
Atlanta Falcons vs Denver Broncos
Spread: Falcons +1.5 (-108) | Broncos -1.5 (-112)
Moneyline: Falcons +108 | Broncos -126
Total: OVER 44.5 (-115) | UNDER 44.5 (-105)
The Atlanta Falcons are still trying to prove their worth to bettors. Coming off a crushing defeat, Atlanta is a road underdog versus the upstart Denver Broncos in Week 11. While defense has been a strength, Denver won’t be able to keep pace with the Falcons’ elite offense.
Atlanta features playmakers at every position on offense. A top-end offensive line sets the stage for the Falcons’ offense. Bijan Robinson is the catalyst and is able to make significant contributions in the run or pass games. Likewise, Kirk Cousins has been a calming presence under center while helping the team blossom into the offensive juggernaut everyone that they could be. In total, the Falcons have the fifth-ranked total offense but just the 13th-ranked scoring offense, implying that we should see a sharp increase in scoring over their coming games.
The Broncos are not that team offensively. They rank 25th or worse in most offensive categories, unable to gain any traction with their passing or ground games. While Denver’s defense has been a driving force in their success, we’re anticipating regression against the Falcons. Their secondary has looked more beatable in recent weeks, which should allow Cousins to distribute the ball to his litany of pass-catchers.
This is an ideal spot to back the Falcons. They’re undeserving of the underdog designation versus the Broncos, and we expect them to cash as road underdogs.
Recommended Play: Falcons Moneyline +108
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Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers
Spread: Seahawks +5.5 (-104) | 49ers -5.5 (-118)
Moneyline: Seahawks +220 | 49ers -270
Total: OVER 48.5 (-105) | UNDER 48.5 (-115)
Bettors get to dig their teeth into another hated rivalry game on Sunday, as the San Francisco 49ers host the Seattle Seahawks at Levi’s Stadium. San Francisco is heating up, giving them an advantage over their division rival Seahawks, who have been grounded by recent efforts.
Losers of five of their past six, the Seahawks are failing on both sides of the ball. Seattle has lost its traction offensively, exposing their vulnerable defense. Worse, we’re not projecting any substantive increases in their production as they take on one of the top teams in the league in a hostile environment.
After getting by without some of their key playmakers throughout the early part of the campaign, the 49ers are finally getting healthy. Christian McCaffrey returned in Week 10, working off the rust with a serviceable performance. We expect him to build off that performance and lead the Niners’ offense to glory against the Seahawks.
Seattle won’t be able to contain McCaffrey and company on Sunday, nor are we expecting them to break through San Francisco’s defense. We’re taking this opportunity to back the 49ers, expecting them to win by at least a touchdown.
Recommended Play: 49ers -5.5 -118
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