Seattle Seahawks vs. Tennessee Titans Preview: Matchup Analysis for Week 12

Week 12 NFL Betting Preview: Seattle Seahawks vs. Tennessee Titans

The Titans enter Week 12 looking to unload a month’s worth of frustration, but the challenge in front of them is massive: an 8–2 Seahawks team that boasts one of the league’s best defenses and an offense capable of burying opponents early.

Oddsmakers aren’t subtle with their expectations here.

Seattle is a 13.5-point road favorite, and the total sits at 40.5 — a clear message that:

Seattle will be doing the scoring, and
Seattle will be doing the stopping

But in the NFL, laying two touchdowns on the road is never as easy as it sounds, and history proves that better than any trend.

Seahawks vs. Titans: Matchup Overview

The Titans’ defense remains the team’s lifeline — a front capable of generating heat on the quarterback and muddying up game scripts. It’s their best path to staying competitive against an elite Seahawks offense.

But the real storyline revolves around the Tennessee offense and its turnover issues.

Sam Darnold: The Wildcard

Last week, Darnold threw four interceptions, yet Tennessee still almost beat one of the best teams in the league. That’s the maddening part:

When Darnold protects the ball, Tennessee can move it.
When he doesn’t, the Titans spend entire quarters in survival mode.

If Darnold simply stops handing out free possessions, this game could be far more competitive than the spread suggests. Tennessee’s defense is tough enough to keep things respectable — unless turnovers give Seattle short fields.

Seattle’s Offensive Edge

Seattle’s offense is loaded with mismatches for this Titans secondary. Expect a heavy dose of:

Jackson Smith-Njigba — prime for a big day vs a shaky coverage unit
Multiple Seahawks rushing scores — Tennessee has struggled in red-zone run defense
Scripted explosive plays early — Seattle rarely waits to impose tempo

Even in a potential “sleepy spot,” the Seahawks’ explosive-power profile means they can put up 24–30 points without breaking a sweat.

Betting Breakdown

Point Spread: Seahawks -13.5

This is where history becomes important.

Road favorites of 11+ points since 2020:

3–7 ATS
5–5 straight up

That’s not good.

In fact, it’s a giant red flag.

These spots tend to create:

Overconfidence
Conservative second halves
Backdoor covers by inferior teams

Seattle is phenomenal at 8–2, but this is the exact type of matchup where elite teams occasionally ease off the gas and let opponents linger.

Lean: Titans +13.5

It’s ugly. It’s uncomfortable. It’s also the mathematically correct play.

Total: 40.5

The low total tells the entire story:

Books expect Seattle to carry the scoring
Books expect Tennessee’s offense to sputter
Books expect both defenses to limit explosives

If Seattle gets out to a lead, they’re comfortable shutting down the tempo and milking possessions.

Lean: Under 40.5

Seattle 24, Tennessee 13 is the kind of game script this number is begging for.

Props to Watch

If you want action beyond the sleepy spread:

JSN Receiving Overs — elite matchup advantage
Seahawks RB Anytime TD (or 2+ TD) — red-zone dominance
Sam Darnold INT Over — the market continues to cash on this
Titans Team Total Under — Tennessee’s ceiling is capped unless Darnold plays perfectly

Final Prediction

Seattle is the better team by a mile. But massive road favorites historically underperform in the betting market, and this has all the elements of a game where the Seahawks win but fail to dominate wire-to-wire.

Projected Result:

Seahawks win
Titans cover +13.5
Under 40.5 hits

Seattle keeps chugging toward the postseason.

Tennessee shows just enough fight to keep bettors sweating.

You can read all about what’s going on in the National Football League at SportsGrid.com.