Vikings vs Lions SNF: 6 Favorite NFL Anytime Touchdown Best Bets
Ben DiGiacomo
Host · Writer
The Minnesota Vikings and Detroit Lions will meet tonight on Sunday Night Football with the NFC’s No. 1 seed on the line. Here are the top touchdown bets you should back and which to avoid.
How to Approach Jahmyr Gibbs (-290)
In two games as the pure RB1, Jahmyr Gibbs has seen 22 and 27 touches, averaging just under 160 scrimmage yards per game with a touchdown in each game. He’s priced at -290 to find the endzone, and even though we want action on him to score in a game with a projected total of 56.5, we can’t lay -290. Parlay him to score with a Lions win for a +100 wager to maximize value. Alternatively, parlay him to score, run for at least 70 yards, and make three catches for a +120 bet.
Aaron Jones (-140) Injury Status
Aaron Jones is dealing with a quadriceps issue, putting his status for Sunday night in jeapordy. Cam Akers (-140) would be the workhorse back if he cannot go. As of right now, I would rather stay away from both. Jones has only run for five touchdowns across 16 games, so getting him at –140 to score is not a price I’m willing to lay. Should he be ruled out, if we can get Akers at plus-money, he could be worth a leg in a touchdown parlay.
Must-Bet: Amon-Ra St. Brown (-120)
Even at -120, how do we not bet on Amon-Ra St. Brown scoring a touchdown in a game with a projected total of 56.5? He’s scored 12 times across his last 14 games, including an eight-reception, 112-yard game already this year against the Vikings, where he found the endzone. With all the points we expect to see on Sunday, I’m confident St. Brown will do a touchdown trot.
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Justin Jefferson (-125) or Jordan Addison (+115)?
When comparing the chances of the top two Vikings’ wide receivers to score, Justin Jefferson looks like the slam dunk, but not so fast. Jordan Addison only has one fewer touchdown on the season, with nine. He also has eight across his last nine games, and we’re getting him at a favorable +115 price. Addison has out-targeted Jefferson 13-8 in the red zone across the previous six games, and at this point, Addison and Sam Darnold have a stronger connection on the deep ball. Our trust in Addison isn’t to dissuade you from backing Jefferson since he’s too talented not to have value on any slate, but I would rather back Addison at +115 than Jefferson at -125.
Jameson Williams (+130) or Sam LaPorta (+170)?
Outside of St. Brown and Gibbs, where is the most value to be had in the Lions’ offense? At +130, Jameson Williams is worth consideration, as he’s caught a touchdown in three straight games and ran for one last week. Sam LaPorta has re-emerged in the Lions’ roster recently, so at +170, we also find value there. If I were to pick a side, it’d be Williams.
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Fade: T.J. Hockenson (+160)
Given all the potent touchdown scorers on this slate on both sides of the ball, I can’t get behind T.J. Hockenson at +160. He has failed to find the endzone this season, and we could get LaPorta at +170, who has seven touchdowns. The Lions’ defense has been one of the best units defending opposing tight ends, allowing the third-fewest receptions and just three touchdowns to the position, so we want no part of Hockenson when there is better value to be had on the board.
All Odds Courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook
