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NHL · 8 months ago

Sweden vs USA Best Bets | 4 Nations Face-Off Predictions Today

Sportsgrid Staff

Host · Writer

The 4 Nations Face-Off continues with Team USA taking on Sweden in what promises to be an exciting matchup. The Americans have been dominant through two games, already securing a spot in the final while showcasing an explosive offense led by Jake Guentzel and Brady Tkachuk. Meanwhile, Sweden’s goaltending has struggled, making them heavy underdogs in this clash. With home-ice advantage at TD Garden, the USA will look to maintain their unbeaten record and send a statement ahead of the championship game. Let’s dive into the latest betting odds, key stats, and top picks for this highly anticipated showdown.

4 Nations Face-Off Central

 Top 10 US Players | Top 10 Overall Players | Where to Watch
USA-SWE: Insights | Same Game Parlay

4 Nation’s Face-Off: USA vs Sweden Game Info

  • Location: TD Garden (Boston, MA)
  • Date: Monday, Feb. 17
  • Where to Watch: TNT/Max
  • Time: 8:00 p.m. ET

USA vs Sweden Best Game Pick

The United States enters its matchup against Sweden as a firm favorite, and for good reason. Sweden’s goaltending has struggled significantly through two games, making it difficult to trust them against a high-powered American offense. Filip Gustavsson was in net for the tournament-opening defeat against Canada, stopping just 24 of 28 shots. Things didn’t improve against Finland, as Gustavsson and Linus Ullmark combined for only 17 saves on 21 shots, resulting in an alarming 83.7% save percentage. Facing an American squad that thrives on scoring chances, Sweden’s goaltenders could be in for another long night.

On the offensive front, Team USA has been nothing short of dominant. Spearheaded by Jake Guentzel, the Americans have been highly efficient in front of goal, converting 16.4% of their shots into scores. They have found the back of the net nine times on 55 attempts, showcasing their ability to generate high-danger chances both at even strength and on the power play. Against a Swedish defense that has been unable to contain scoring opportunities, the USA should have little trouble continuing its offensive success.

Although the Americans have already secured a spot in the tournament final, there’s no indication they will ease off the gas. This marks their first game in front of their home crowd at TD Garden, and they will be eager to put on a dominant performance. Sweden’s hopes of advancing are slim, but for the USA, this game is another chance to prove they are the team to beat in the 4 Nations Face-Off. Expect them to assert their superiority once again.

Best Bet: USA Moneyline: -182

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USA vs Sweden Top Prop Play

Brady Tkachuk has been a sparkplug for Team USA, bringing relentless energy and physicality every time he steps onto the ice. His presence has been undeniable through two games, making him a strong candidate to find the back of the net against Sweden.

Tkachuk was a force in the USA’s 6-1 rout of Finland, recording two goals on five shots while delivering eight hits. He continued his aggressive play in the win over Canada, adding three shots and six hits to his stat line. Sweden’s defensive struggles and shaky goaltending only increase the likelihood that Tkachuk will capitalize on scoring opportunities.

His effectiveness isn’t just limited to this tournament. Throughout the NHL season, Tkachuk has led the Ottawa Senators with a 62.4% expected goals-for percentage, ranking among the most impactful forwards in the league. Averaging 11.8 scoring chances and 4.4 high-danger attempts per game, he consistently puts himself in a position to generate offense.

That trend has carried over into international play, making him a crucial component of the USA’s success in the 4 Nations Face-Off. With Sweden’s goaltending woes on full display, backing Tkachuk as an anytime goal scorer presents solid value. Expect him to remain an offensive catalyst in this matchup.

Top Prop: Brady Tkachuk Anytime Goal Scorer: +270

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USA has been the most dominant team in the tournament, and with their offense firing on all cylinders, they should comfortably handle Sweden. Given Sweden’s defensive deficiencies, backing the USA on the moneyline and placing a bet on Brady Tkachuk to score are both strong plays.

Get inside the crease and access who is starting in tonight’s NHL matchups and save projections with SportsGrid’s Starting Goalies Page.

4 Nations Face-Off Futures Odds

Team Opening Odds Current Odds
USA 175 -160
Canada 135 155
Finland 700 1700
Sweden 500 4000

Sweden vs USA Odds & Predictions, Free Picks, Prop Bets Today & Injury Updates

USA vs Sweden Top Tournament Performers

  • Jake Guentzel (USA) leads the tournament with three goals and tied for the points lead with four.

  • Zach Werenski (USA) has a tournament-best four assists, showing strong playmaking ability from the blueliner.

  • Jack Eichel (USA) is right behind his American teammates with three points and a +2 rating.

  • Lucas Raymond (Sweden) leads his team with three points, all assists, making him a crucial player against the USA.

USA vs Sweden Goaltending Comparison

  • Connor Hellebuyck (USA) has been elite, leading the tournament in wins (two), GAA (1.00) and save percentage (.957).

  • Filip Gustavsson (Sweden) has struggled in two starts, with a .813 SV% and a 4.19 GAA. Linus Ullmark replaced him to start the second period of Sweden’s 4-3 loss to Finland on Saturday. Expect Ullmark to get the nod tonight.