5 Week 11 NFL Favorites That Won’t Cover the Spread

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cleveland Browns (-1.5)

Another AFC North tilt in Week 11 features the Cleveland Browns hosting the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Browns got some unfortunate news on Thursday, with quarterback Deshaun Watson undergoing season-ending surgery. Rookie Dorian Thompson-Robinson is expected to start for this group moving forward, and that's a tough ask against this ferocious Steelers pass rush. The Steelers already took down the Browns in Week 2. Can they do it again on the road? Say what you want about this lackluster Pittsburgh offense, they've found success running the ball over the last two weeks, and that will be the difference on Sunday, even against a strong Browns defense. 

Arizona Cardinals vs. Houston Texans (-4.5)

The Houston Texans are coming off a strong statement victory on the road over the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 10. The Arizona Cardinals shocked the Atlanta Falcons and got back in the win column with Kyler Murray in the fold. The Texans have proven to be a good team, and we initially expected this line to be a bit higher. Still, this feels like too many points, especially with some issues for Houston present on defense. 

Minnesota Vikings vs. Denver Broncos (-2.5)

How can you not be impressed with the resiliency that this Minnesota Vikings team has continued to show? Joshua Dobbs has come in for the injured Kirk Cousins and has done an admirable job. On the other end of the spectrum, Russell Wilson looks much more like his old self in Denver, and his Broncos are 2.5-point favorites in this matchup. After a big win in Buffalo on Monday night, we like the Vikings to continue rolling and win outright. 

New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills (-6.5)

Entering 2023, it was hardly the expectation that the Buffalo Bills would be sitting at 5-5 after Week 10. That's where they stand after their recent loss on Monday to the Denver Broncos. The Bills ultimately fired their offensive coordinator, Ken Dorsey, with Joe Brady taking over the role. The Bills are set to host the New York Jets as 6.5-point favorites in Week 11. The Jets already won outright in Week 1 against Buffalo, which saw Aaron Rodgers exit the game after just four snaps. This Jets defense constantly gives Josh Allen trouble, and we expect that to be no different in this matchup. 

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cleveland Browns (-1.5)

Another AFC North tilt in Week 11 features the Cleveland Browns hosting the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Browns got some unfortunate news on Thursday, with quarterback Deshaun Watson undergoing season-ending surgery. Rookie Dorian Thompson-Robinson is expected to start for this group moving forward, and that's a tough ask against this ferocious Steelers pass rush. The Steelers already took down the Browns in Week 2. Can they do it again on the road? Say what you want about this lackluster Pittsburgh offense, they've found success running the ball over the last two weeks, and that will be the difference on Sunday, even against a strong Browns defense.