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NBA · 3 weeks ago

Denver Nuggets vs. Phoenix Suns Spread, Line, Odds, Predictions, Picks and Betting Preview

Sportsgrid-Staff

Denver Nuggets vs. Phoenix Suns Spread, Line, Odds, Predictions, Picks and Betting Preview for NBA Basketball Game on 05/11

Date: 05/11/2023
Time: 10:00 PM
Venue: Footprint Center
 

Key Player Out: A Blow to the Suns

Tonight’s NBA face-off between the Phoenix Suns and the Denver Nuggets poses an interesting betting scenario. The Suns’ Deandre Ayton is confirmed out due to a rib contusion. His absence moves the Suns to a -1.5 point spread, with the game’s total at 226. Despite his underperformance and clear lack of motivation to play for the Suns, his absence might affect the team’s dynamics.

Suns’ Struggles with Ayton

Over the past two years, the Suns have been negatively impacted by Ayton’s lack of contribution when it matters. He’s shown a distinct disinterest in playing for Phoenix, particularly in high-stakes games. His dissatisfaction has raised questions about his future with the Suns, with speculation about his potential exit from the team.

Still Betting on the Suns

Despite these setbacks, there’s a strong case to be made for betting on the Suns tonight. The expectation is that Jock Landale will step up and fill the void left by Ayton. The key point is that Deandre’s absence might not significantly impact the game, given his lack of contribution so far.

Booker and Durant: The Game Changers

The betting spotlight shifts to Devin Booker and Kevin Durant, with predictions suggesting both players will score over 35 points tonight. Their performance could be crucial for the Suns to win the game and cover the spread.

Predicting a Game Seven

While the Suns are predicted to win tonight, the overall forecast for the series isn’t as optimistic. The expectation is for a Game 7, but the Nuggets are favored to win it, given their home advantage. This forecast is based on the Suns’ lackluster performance in Denver throughout the series.

Betting Outcome

While tonight’s game leans in favor of the Suns, the overall series might tilt toward the Nuggets. Key player performances, notably from Booker and Durant, will be pivotal to the outcome of tonight’s game.

 

Betting Odds @ FanDuel

    Spread Total Moneyline
Denver Nuggets  Open +3.5   -110   O 226.5   -110   +134  
 Current +1.5   -108   226   -110   +106  
Phoenix Suns  Open -3.5   -110   U 226.5   -110   -158  
 Current -1.5   -112   226   -110   -124  

Projected Lineups:

Denver Nuggets

1. C  Nikola Jokic   24.5 Points, 11.8 Rebounds, 9.8 Assists
2. PG  Jamal Murray   20.0 Points, 4.0 Rebounds, 6.2 Assists
3. PF  Aaron Gordon   16.3 Points, 6.6 Rebounds, 3.0 Assists
4. SF  Michael Porter Jr.   17.4 Points, 5.5 Rebounds, 1.0 Assists
5. SG  Kentavious Caldwell-Pope   10.8 Points, 2.7 Rebounds, 2.4 Assists
6. SG  Bruce Brown   11.5 Points, 4.1 Rebounds, 3.4 Assists

 

Phoenix Suns

1. PF  Kevin Durant   29.1 Points, 6.7 Rebounds, 5.0 Assists
2. SG  Devin Booker   27.8 Points, 4.5 Rebounds, 5.5 Assists
3. PG  Cameron Payne   10.3 Points, 2.2 Rebounds, 4.5 Assists
4. C  Jock Landale   6.6 Points, 4.1 Rebounds, 1.0 Assists
5. SG  Landry Shamet   8.7 Points, 1.7 Rebounds, 2.3 Assists
6. C  Bismack Biyombo   4.3 Points, 4.3 Rebounds, 0.9 Assists

Last 5 Against The Spread:

Denver Nuggets

DATE OPP SPREAD TOTAL SCORE
Tue, May 09 PHO -6.5 227.0 118-102
Sun, May 07 PHO +1.0 226.0 129-124
Fri, May 05 PHO +4.0 225.0 121-114
Mon, May 01 PHO -4.0 229.0 97-87
Sat, Apr 29 PHO -4.0 228.0 125-107

 

Phoenix Suns

DATE OPP SPREAD TOTAL SCORE
Tue, May 09 DEN +6.5 227.0 118-102
Sun, May 07 DEN -1.0 226.0 129-124
Fri, May 05 DEN -4.0 225.0 121-114
Mon, May 01 DEN +4.0 229.0 97-87
Sat, Apr 29 DEN +4.0 228.0 125-107

Betting Insights:

Phoenix Suns

  • 3-2 (.600) against the spread at home as a favorite in their last five games in the 2022/2023 playoffs
  • 4-1 (.800) at home as a favorite in their last five games in the 2022/2023 playoffs

Denver Nuggets

  • 2-3 (.400) against the spread on the road as an underdog in their last five games across the regular season and playoffs in 2022/2023
  • 0-5 (.000) on the road as an underdog in their last five games across the regular season and playoffs in 2022/2023

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