College Baseball · 4 hours ago

On3 Reveals Updated Field of 64 Projections Ahead of 2026 NCAA Baseball Tournament

John Canady

Host · Writer

Starkville Regional
Mississippi State lands a difficult regional featuring Kansas and a resurgent Michigan club capable of getting hot at the right time. Campbell’s consistency and offensive depth only add to the challenge in what feels like one of the more balanced brackets nationally. With three teams that could realistically envision advancing, Starkville could become one of the tournament’s most competitive sites.

1. Mississippi State (14)
2. Kansas (18)
3. Michigan
4. Campbell*
Field of 64 Projections: NCAA Tournament Bubble
The bubble remains incredibly volatile heading into the final week, with Virginia Tech, NC State, Texas State, and Purdue currently holding the final projected spots in the field. Louisiana, Miami (OH), Troy, and East Carolina are all within striking distance, while programs like Pitt and South Alabama are still hoping for late movement before Selection Monday. With conference tournaments looming, the back end of the bracket feels far from settled and could shift dramatically over the next several days.

Last Four In: Virginia Tech, NC State, Texas State, Purdue
First Four Out: Louisiana, Miami (OH), Troy, East Carolina
Next Four Out: Pitt, Mercer, South Alabama, Southeast Missouri State
Los Angeles Regional
UCLA headlines a regional loaded with West Coast familiarity and dangerous pitching staffs. UC Santa Barbara has a balanced roster capable of making a real push. At the same time, Kent State brings postseason experience, and San Diego State adds another competitive layer to an already tricky draw. Even as the No. 1 overall seed, the Bruins would have little room for a slow start in a bracket that feels deeper than it initially appears.

1. UCLA (1)*
2. UC Santa Barbara (29)*
3. Kent State*
4. San Diego State*
Lincoln Regional
Nebraska’s return to hosting comes with immediate pressure thanks to Oregon State sitting as the No. 2 seed. Kentucky brings SEC-tested experience that could make this regional far more physical than expected, while SIUE will embrace the underdog role with nothing to lose. On paper, this feels like one of the tougher paths for a host outside the national top eight.

1. Nebraska (16)
2. Oregon State (17)
3. Kentucky
4. SIUE*
Hattiesburg Regional
Southern Miss once again lands in a position where its home-field advantage could become a major storyline, but this is far from an easy regional. Tennessee’s talent ceiling remains dangerous despite an inconsistent year, while NC State is the kind of battle-tested club capable of getting hot quickly in postseason play. Bucknell rounds out the field, but this regional has all the ingredients for a tense weekend with multiple legitimate contenders.

1. Southern Miss (8)*
2. Tennessee (26)
3. NC State
4. Bucknell*
College Station Regional
Texas A&M draws another difficult regional with Wake Forest, bringing one of the more explosive lineups in the projected field. UTSA has quietly built a strong résumé and feels capable of stealing games from anyone in the bracket, while Tarleton State adds another unpredictable element. If the Aggies are going to advance comfortably, they’ll likely need their pitching staff to carry the tone early.

1. Texas A&M (9)
2. Wake Forest (24)
3. UTSA*
4. Tarleton State*
Chapel Hill Regional
North Carolina enters as the clear favorite, but UCF has the athleticism and offensive firepower to make things uncomfortable quickly. Western Carolina is the type of dangerous mid-major that can turn a regional upside down with one hot weekend, while Yale will look to play spoiler against deeper programs. The Tar Heels have the edge, though this draw feels far from automatic.

1. North Carolina (5)
2. UCF (28)
3. Western Carolina*
4. Yale*
Oxford Regional
Ole Miss gets a challenging regional with Oregon and TCU both capable of making serious postseason noise. The Ducks continue to look like one of the more complete No. 2 seeds nationally, while TCU’s experience gives the Horned Frogs upset potential despite sitting on the bubble. St. John’s adds another quality arm-heavy club to a regional that could become one of the weekend’s best.

1. Ole Miss (12)
2. Oregon (21)
3. TCU
4. St. John’s*
Austin Regional
Texas headlines a fascinating in-state regional that includes surging Texas State and dangerous UTSA-like upset energy from Oral Roberts. Boston College has quietly put together a strong season and gives the Longhorns a difficult No. 2 matchup capable of extending games deep into the bullpen. There’s enough offensive firepower throughout this pod to make it one of the more entertaining regionals in the country.

1. Texas (4)
2. Boston College (31)
3. Texas State
4. Oral Roberts*
Los Angeles Regional
USC’s projected regional feels balanced from top to bottom, with Cincinnati and Gonzaga both capable of applying immediate pressure. Wright State’s postseason history as a pesky underdog only adds to the intrigue in a bracket that lacks an easy out. The Trojans may host, but this is a regional where momentum could swing quickly.

1. USC (13)
2. Cincinnati (20)
3. Gonzaga*
4. Wright State*
Atlanta Regional
Georgia Tech remains one of the hottest teams nationally entering the final stretch, though Missouri State presents a dangerous challenge as a proven mid-major winner. High Point has quietly built an impressive résumé, while Fairleigh Dickinson will look to embrace the chaos of regional play. This bracket has upset potential, but the Yellow Jackets still feel firmly in control entering postseason play.

1. Georgia Tech (2)*
2. Missouri State (30)
3. High Point*
4. Fairleigh Dickinson*
Morgantown Regional
West Virginia draws one of the toughest projected No. 2 seeds in the field with Arkansas landing in Morgantown. Purdue’s inclusion on the bubble makes this regional especially interesting, while Indiana State brings the kind of disciplined style that traditionally thrives in tournament settings. There’s very little separation between these teams, making this one of the more unpredictable regionals in the projection.

1. West Virginia (15)
2. Arkansas (19)
3. Purdue
4. Indiana State*
Tuscaloosa Regional
Alabama gets a dangerous draw with Oklahoma State and Virginia Tech, both of which have the talent to push for an upset. The Hokies, entering as one of the “last four in,” only add pressure, as every game could carry elimination-level intensity from the start. Binghamton rounds out the field, but this regional feels significantly tougher than a typical No. 7 national seed setup.

1. Alabama (7)
2. Oklahoma State (25)
3. Virginia Tech
4. Binghamton*
Tallahassee Regional
Florida State hosts a regional that feels deceptively difficult thanks to Oklahoma’s upside and Jacksonville State’s ability to create problems offensively. North Florida adds another dangerous in-state opponent familiar with the environment and conditions. If the Seminoles pitch to their standard, they should still control the regional, but this is not a stress-free draw.

1. Florida State (10)
2. Oklahoma (23)
3. Jacksonville State*
4. North Florida*
Athens Regional
Georgia gets a balanced but dangerous pod, with Virginia and Liberty both capable of making this a difficult weekend. The Cavaliers’ postseason pedigree makes them an especially dangerous No. 2 seed, while Liberty has consistently shown the ability to compete at a high level. Niagara rounds out the field, but this regional has all the makings of a physical, high-pressure battle.

1. Georgia (6)
2. Virginia (27)
3. Liberty
4. Niagara*
Gainesville Regional
Florida draws one of the deepest regionals in the field, with Coastal Carolina and Arizona State both carrying upset potential. The Chanticleers continue to look like a dangerous postseason team capable of winning low-scoring games, while Arizona State’s offense can change a regional quickly if it catches rhythm. Southeastern Louisiana adds another capable club to this bracket that won’t simply roll over.

1. Florida (11)
2. Coastal Carolina (22)
3. Arizona State
4. Southeastern Louisiana*
Auburn Regional
Auburn hosts a regional that feels volatile thanks to Miami entering as a dangerous bubble team with little to lose. Saint Joseph’s has been one of the better mid-major stories this season, while Bethune-Cookman brings athleticism that can create pressure in tournament settings. The Tigers remain the favorite, but this regional has clear upset potential if games tighten late.

1. Auburn (3)
2. Miami (32)
3. Saint Joseph’s*
4. Bethune-Cookman*
Starkville Regional
Mississippi State lands a difficult regional featuring Kansas and a resurgent Michigan club capable of getting hot at the right time. Campbell’s consistency and offensive depth only add to the challenge in what feels like one of the more balanced brackets nationally. With three teams that could realistically envision advancing, Starkville could become one of the tournament’s most competitive sites.

1. Mississippi State (14)
2. Kansas (18)
3. Michigan
4. Campbell*
Field of 64 Projections: NCAA Tournament Bubble
The bubble remains incredibly volatile heading into the final week, with Virginia Tech, NC State, Texas State, and Purdue currently holding the final projected spots in the field. Louisiana, Miami (OH), Troy, and East Carolina are all within striking distance, while programs like Pitt and South Alabama are still hoping for late movement before Selection Monday. With conference tournaments looming, the back end of the bracket feels far from settled and could shift dramatically over the next several days.

Last Four In: Virginia Tech, NC State, Texas State, Purdue
First Four Out: Louisiana, Miami (OH), Troy, East Carolina
Next Four Out: Pitt, Mercer, South Alabama, Southeast Missouri State

On3 Reveals Updated Field of 64 Projections Ahead of 2026 NCAA Baseball Tournament

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