Brandon Moreno vs Steve Erceg
- Odds to Win: Moreno -245 | Erceg +194
- How Will Fight End: KO/TKO +270 | Submission +650 | Decision -220
- Will the fight go the distance? Yes -215 | No +164
Former flyweight champion Brandon Moreno takes on former title contender Steve Erceg. Moreno is 4-3 over his last seven fights, with five being for the title. Erceg has lost two in a row, but had an 11-fight win streak before that.
Erceg is one inch taller, but Moreno has a two-inch reach advantage. Like many flyweight fights, both fighters are statistically similar. They clock in at 0.21 and 0.23 knockdowns, 1.59 and 11.16 takedowns, and 0.42 and 0.47 submissions per 15 minutes. On the feet, they land 3.99 and 4.37 and absorb 3.53 and 4.22 significant strikes per minute, with Erceg enjoying the slight edge.
The big difference is in experience, with Moreno having faced more high-pressure situations. I think Moreno wins the fight, but there's no doubt the value is with Erceg. However, with the fight in Mexico, it's difficult to bet against Moreno. Take Moreno to win at -245.
