5. Milwaukee Brewers
Over the past few years, the Milwaukee Brewers have become synonymous with pitching. Collectively, the Brew Crew led the majors in ERA, compensating for their offensive shortcomings. But with a few changes to their starting rotation and a still underwhelming lineup, Milwaukee might not maintain the standard they've become known for.
Freddy Peralta remains the staff ace, but there are concerns in the rotation. Corbin Burnes was dealt to the Baltimore Orioles, and Wade Miley is dealing with a lingering hip issue. That means Jakob Junis, Colin Rea, and DL Hall will be expected to make more significant contributions than they may be able to offer.
Last year, the Brewers offense finished in the league's bottom half in runs and OPS. It's tough to envision a scenario where they improve on those metrics with their current roster composition.
NL Central teams around them have gotten better, and the Brewers have seemingly gotten worse. As such, we have them earmarked for regression in 2024. Look no further than the Brewers' +8500 World Series odds to validate that position.