2025 NBA Finals Game 7: Thunder-Backed Parlay Picks & Props

With the 2025 NBA Championship on the line, the Oklahoma City Thunder find themselves back on home court, facing a resilient Indiana Pacers squad in a decisive Game 7. While the Pacers have continually defied expectations throughout the playoffs, this OKC team has shown a habit of dominating when it matters most. 

Behind a ferocious defense, a league-leading transition game, and the dynamic presence of their young core, Oklahoma City is poised to finally raise the trophy — and we have the safest way to back them to do it.

In our final NBA same game parlay of the season, let’s finish on a high note.

IND vs OKC Gm 7 Odds & Predictions, Free Picks, Prop Bets Today & Injury Updates

Pacers at Thunder Game Info & Where to Watch

• Location: Paycom Center – Oklahoma City, OK
• Where to Watch: ABC
• Where to Stream: Fubo, ABC.com, ESPN App
• Follow: SportsGrid App (Google Play Store or Apple Store)
• Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
• Spread: Thunder -7.5 | Total: 214.5
• Moneyline: Pacers +240 | Thunder -295

Odds Subject to Change. Get the Most Up-to-Date Odds Here.

Leg 1: Thunder Alternate Spread -3.5 (-182)

Oklahoma City has had its chances throughout the series to put away the Pacers and win its first NBA title. Instead, Indiana has hung around and forced a deciding Game 7 at Paycom Center. These are the types of games the Thunder have excelled in throughout these playoffs.

When the Denver Nuggets won Game 6 at home in the second round to force a decider in OKC, the Thunder thrashed them 125-93. When the Minnesota Timberwolves showed some life by taking Game 3, Oklahoma City answered with back-to-back wins, including a dominant 124-94 demolition in the close-out Game 5.

Now, the Indiana Pacers are about to suffer the same fate. So why not take the spread, straight up, you ask? While I think it’s more likely than not that OKC wins Game 7 handily, Indiana has been tough to peg. They’ve played well on the road in these playoffs, and just once, you think they are dead and buried, they rise like the Undertaker, refusing to rest in peace. While this is where they meet their ultimate resting place, they may not make it easy, so the alternate spread makes more sense in a multi-leg parlay.

As entertaining as Indiana has made this NBA Finals, OKC is head and shoulders the better team. Their defense, scoring, and rebounding depth and skill level are simply a step above the Pacers.

I expect a very active Thunder squad to go with what got them here. Swarming defense, quick transition, and consistent finishing. OKC has far and away forced more turnovers than any other team in these playoffs, and they lead the NBA in percentage of points off turnovers at 19.1%. They also lead all playoff teams that have played at least five games in pace with a 100.37 rating and defensive rating (106.0).

The better team, with the better player, wins the NBA Championship, and we cash the first leg of our SGP.

2025 NBA Finals Game 7: Pacers-Backed Parlay Picks & Props

Leg 2: Tyrese Haliburton Under 15.5 Points (-128)

I’m not completely convinced Tyrese Haliburton is quite over his calf strain yet. He looked good early in Game 6, but faded down the stretch, just getting over his 13.5-point prop with 14 on 5-of-12 shooting from the floor. Sure, Indiana built a big enough lead early so they could limit Haliburton’s minutes to just 23, but if any issues linger with the calf in Game 7, it could play a major role in slowing his offensive production.

Even at his best in this series, the former Sacramento King has hardly scorched the Thunder. Haliburton’s top scoring performance came in Game 3 when he scored 22 on 53% shooting. Every other game in this series, Indiana’s star guard has gone under 20 points and is averaging just 14.8 PPG on 44.7% shooting in these Finals. Haliburton’s gone under this number three times this series, and clearing it with games of 17 and 18 doesn’t exactly give much wiggle room.

Oklahoma City slowing Haliburton is not a new phenomenon. The 25-year-old was held to just 11.0 PPG in two regular-season meetings with the Thunder in 2024-25. Holding point guards at bay was a calling card for OKC. They rank at the top of the league in defensive efficiency against the position. The Thunder held opposing point guards to just 22.7 points per 48 minutes, the second-lowest mark in the NBA during the regular season.

I expect the Thunder to continue to play physically on Haliburton and lock him up in this must-win game.

Leg 3: Chet Holmgren Over 9.5 Rebounds (-128)

The Indiana Pacers have been a poor rebounding team all season long. Indiana ranked 28th, pulling down just 41.8 boards per game in the regular season and had the second-fewest offensive rebounds at 9.2 per game. The Eastern Conference champions didn’t do much better, keeping opponents off the glass, giving up 45.0 boards per game, ranking 22nd in the NBA.

This trend of streaky glasswork continued in the postseason as Indiana averaged just 40.4 boards per game as a team. Defending the glass was not much better, allowing opponents to grab 43.2 RPG.

Chet Holmgren is a better-than-average rebounder and has shown it in these Finals. The Thunder’s big man had a stretch of double-digit boards in three straight games in this series, averaging 12 RPG over that small sample size. In the three Finals games, Holmgren missed the mark; he played 28 minutes or less in each contest. That’s not a trend I see continuing in this win-or-go-home trophy-less scenario.

Holmgren is right around this number in these playoffs, averaging 8.7 RPG. While the former second overall pick did not meet Indiana this year, he did average 10.5 RPG in two meetings with the Pacers last season.

Throughout the 2024-25 campaign, Indiana did not look great defending power forwards. The Pacers ranked dead last, giving up 12.0 rebounds per 48 minutes to the position, a trend that fits with their overall struggles on the glass.

I expect an energetic Holmgren to be a difference maker in the paint and on the glass, helping OKC bring home its first NBA title.

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3-Leg SGP Payout: +392 Odds

• Thunder Alternate Spread -3.5 (-182)
• Tyrese Haliburton Under 15.5 Points (-128)
• Chet Holmgren Over 9.5 Rebounds (-128)