Best NBA Bets Monday, February 2: Trends, Predictions & Picks for Tonight

Four NBA games tonight, and the market is doing that thing where it prices the “better team" but forgets the spread is a different sport. I’m not here to bet vibes. I’m here to bet numbers. Two spots jump off the page: one is a fatigue fade in Charlotte, and the other is a buy-low home dog in Indiana with a nasty head-to-head profile.

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Best Bet: Charlotte Hornets -6.5 (3 units)

Where to Watch the Charlotte Hornets vs. New Orleans Pelicans Tonight

• Arena: Spectrum Center
• Location: Charlotte, NC
• Where to Watch: NBA League Pass
• Date: February 2, 2026
• Time: 07:00 PM ET
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NBA Betting Odds Today: Hornets vs. Pelicans Moneyline, Spread & Kalshi Probabilities

Odds as of February 02, 2026, at 11:32 AM ET

Note: All odds are subject to change after article publication. Get the most up-to-date odds here.

This is a schedule spot I’m willing to press. New Orleans is in a high-frequency stretch (three games in four days), and that’s been a problem: 12-22 straight up (35.29%) with an average margin of -5.29 in those windows. Charlotte is sitting on one day of rest at home, with no back-to-back attached.

Now, layer in form. Charlotte is 8-2 straight up in its last ten and 6-4 against the spread. New Orleans is 4-6 straight up over the same sample, and while the Pelicans have covered six of ten, that’s precisely why I like this number. The market is giving them respect. I’m saying the legs matter more than the reputation tonight.

And I’m not ignoring the head-to-head. New Orleans is 7-3 straight up in the last ten meetings, and 7-3 against the spread. That’s the reason we’re getting a real number instead of something inflated. But this is a different setup. Charlotte is the healthier scheduling side, and I’m betting the Hornets turn this into a fourth-quarter jog.

Expert Pick: Indiana Pacers +6.0 (2 units)

Where to Watch the Indiana Pacers vs. Houston Rockets Tonight

• Arena: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
• Location: Indianapolis, IN
• Where to Watch: NBA League Pass
• Date: February 2, 2026
• Time: 07:00 PM ET

NBA Betting Odds Today: Pacers vs. Rockets Moneyline, Spread & Kalshi Probabilities

Odds as of February 02, 2026, at 11:32 AM ET

Note: All odds are subject to change after article publication. Get the most up-to-date odds here.

Houston’s been winning, but it hasn’t been paying. The Rockets are 7-3 straight up in their last ten, yet just 4-6 against the spread. That’s the profile of a team the market keeps overrating. Indiana is the opposite kind of messy. The Pacers are 5-5 straight up and 5-5 against the spread, which is precisely why we’re getting points at home.

Here’s the angle I can’t shake: Indiana has dominated this head-to-head at home. Over the last ten meetings, the home team is 8-2, and Indiana is 8-2 straight up in that span. That’s not a slight lean. That’s a trend with teeth. And it matters even more when the favorite is traveling. Houston is coming in with one day of rest and 866.0 miles of travel. Indiana stays home.

One more thing. Indiana is also on the front end of a back-to-back, and their first-night back-to-back results have been tight: average margin -0.71 across 21 games. That’s basically telling you they play coin-flip games in this exact scheduling lane. Give me +6.0 in a matchup where the home team keeps showing up.

The SportsGrid Betting Edge

• Best Bet (3 units): Charlotte Hornets -6.5
• Expert Pick (2 units): Indiana Pacers +6.0

Two bets. Two clear stories. I’m fading the tired legs in Charlotte, and I’m buying the home dog profile in Indiana against a Houston team that keeps winning but not covering. Ride with me or fade me, but don’t sit in the middle.

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Data from Blitz. Stats as of February 2.