Top NBA Player Prop Picks to Target for Thursday, February 19

The post-break board is loaded with clean rest spots.

Four props stand out because the line, recent form, and opponent profile all point the same way.

Attack the Paint with SportsGrid’s Free NBA Picks and Player Props Markets.

Best NBA Player Prop Picks & Odds: Thursday, February 19

The Pick: Jarrett Allen Over 8.5 Rebounds

Where to Watch the Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Brooklyn Nets Tonight

• Arena: Rocket Arena
• Location: Cleveland, OH
• TV: NBA League Pass
• Date: February 19, 2026
• Time: 07:00 PM ET

Odds as of February 19, 2026, at 11:26 AM ET

Jarrett Allen is in a smash spot on the glass. He’s cleared 8.5 rebounds in 100% of his last five games and 70% of his last ten. That includes a five-game over streak. The Brooklyn Nets have also been a friendly matchup, with Allen clearing this line in 62.5% of his last eight against the Nets. The opponent profile helps too. Brooklyn’s matchup allowance is 6.6 rebounds allowed, ranking 25th in that split. At a cheaper -107 best price, the number is doing plenty of work.

The Pick: Matas Buzelis Over 14.5 Points

Where to Watch the Chicago Bulls vs. Toronto Raptors Tonight

• Arena: United Center
• Location: Chicago, IL
• TV: NBA League Pass
• Date: February 19, 2026
• Time: 08:00 PM ET

Odds as of February 19, 2026, at 11:26 AM ET

Matas Buzelis has been automatic lately. He’s hit 14.5 points in 100% of his last five and 80% of his last ten, riding a five-game over streak. The recent game log backs it up, with 15, 18, 21, 18, and 22 points in his last five. The floor is also playable for this number. His 14.5 floor lines up with the prop, and the 20.0 ceiling gives real upside. There’s also a role boost angle with Josh Giddey possibly out for the Chicago Bulls. Buzelis has averaged 17.4 points without Giddey versus 13.8 with him. That’s a meaningful jump for a line sitting at 14.5.

The Pick: Jabari Smith Over 21.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists

Where to Watch the Charlotte Hornets vs. Houston Rockets Tonight

• Arena: Spectrum Center
• Location: Charlotte, NC
• TV: NBA League Pass
• Date: February 19, 2026
• Time: 07:00 PM ET

Odds as of February 19, 2026, at 11:26 AM ET

Jabari Smith is priced like a coin flip, but the profile looks steadier than that. He’s cleared 21.5 PRA in 80% of his last five and 70% of his last ten, with a four-game over streak. His season average is 24.1 PRA, which gives this line breathing room. The matchup history is strong, too. Smith has hit this number in 75% of his last four against the Charlotte Hornets. The Hornets also grade as a soft opponent for this stat type, allowing 16.2 with a 26th-ranked mark in that split. That’s the kind of opponent profile that keeps the floor intact.

The Pick: Bub Carrington Over 9.5 Points

Where to Watch the Washington Wizards vs. Indiana Pacers Tonight

• Arena: Capital One Arena
• Location: Washington, DC
• TV: NBA League Pass
• Date: February 19, 2026
• Time: 07:00 PM ET

Odds as of February 19, 2026, at 11:26 AM ET

Bub Carrington is the best kind of prop tonight: a low line with a real plus-money out. He’s cleared 9.5 points in 80% of his last five and 80% of his last ten. He’s also hit this number in 66.67% of his last six against Indiana. The matchup is quietly favorable. The Indiana Pacers’ defensive profile sits at 14.1 allowed, versus a league average of 14.0, with a 2nd-ranked mark in that split. That’s a green light for scoring volume. The best part is the price. Getting +101 at DraftKings instead of -128 is a massive swing in implied probability.

The SportsGrid Betting Edge

These are the spots where the market is giving clean entry points: strong recent hit rates, opponent history that supports the angle, and at least one price worth shopping. 

Our player prop picks are produced by the SportsGrid NBA editorial team, which is a collaborative unit of basketball and betting experts, data scientists, and market specialists dedicated to uncovering high-probability edges. By combining proprietary predictive modeling with real-time market data, the team distills complex situational trends—including rest advantages, injury impacts, and schedule spots—into actionable bets. 

Data from Blitz. Stats as of February 19. This article has been published by Editor-in-Chief Daniel Mogollon.