Top NBA Player Prop Picks to Target for Tuesday, January 27

Tuesday’s slate brings a clean mix of pace environments and rest edges. There are also a few props where the market is still lagging behind recent role stability and opponent-specific history.

After scanning every game, four spots stand out. Each one has strong hit rates, plus at least two matchup or context angles that support the number.

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Best NBA Player Prop Picks & Odds: Tuesday, January 27

The Pick: Ivica Zubac Over 10.5 Rebounds

Where to Watch the Utah Jazz vs. Los Angeles Clippers Tonight?

• • Arena: Delta Center

• • Location: Utah

• • TV: NBA League Pass

• • Date: January 27, 2026

• • Time: 10:00 PM ET

Odds as of January 27, 2026, at 8:37 AM ET

Ivica Zubac enters with an 80% hit rate in his last five games and a seven-for-ten hit rate in his last ten. Before last game, he was on a five-game over streak. Zubac’s season average sits at 11.0 rebounds, which clears 10.5. The floor helps, too, with an 8.25 rebound floor and a 13.0 rebound ceiling. The price is the separator. At plus money, Caesars is offering a materially better entry than the -136 consensus.

The Pick: Trey Murphy Over 20.5 Points

Where to Watch the Oklahoma City Thunder vs. New Orleans Pelicans Tonight?

• • Arena: Paycom Center

• • Location: Oklahoma City

• • TV: NBA League Pass

• • Date: January 27, 2026

• • Time: 8:00 PM ET

Trey Murphy has been one of the cleanest points overs on the board. He has cleared this line in 60% of his last five games and 80% of his last ten. His season average is 22.2 points, which is already above 20.5. The road split is a plus, with an away mark of 21.3. The matchup data is the only red flag, with a 20% hit rate in the 10 games against Oklahoma City. That keeps this from being a max bet. The form still makes the number playable.

The Pick: Quentin Grimes Over 2.5 Assists

Where to Watch the Philadelphia 76ers vs. Milwaukee Bucks Tonight?

• • Arena: Xfinity Mobile Arena

• • Location: Philadelphia

• • TV: NBA League Pass

• • Date: January 27, 2026

• • Time: 8:00 PM ET

Odds as of January 27, 2026, at 8:37 AM ET

Quentin Grimes is priced like a low-assist wing, but the recent profile is stronger. He has cleared 2.5 assists in 80% of his last five games and 60% of his last ten. He is also on a four-game over streak. The season average is 3.7 assists, which gives this line real cushion. The matchup history is solid, too, with a 50% hit rate in eight games versus Philadelphia. Milwaukee is also on a back-to-back, with zero rest days in the schedule data. At plus money, the market is giving a favorable risk-reward setup.

The Pick: Shaedon Sharpe Over 4.5 Rebounds

Where to Watch the Washington Wizards vs. Portland Trail Blazers Tonight?

• • Arena: Capital One Arena

• • Location: Washington

• • TV: NBA League Pass

• • Date: January 27, 2026

• • Time: 7:00 PM ET

Odds as of January 27, 2026, at 8:37 AM ET

Shaedon Sharpe has cleared 4.5 rebounds in 80% of his last five games and 70% of his last ten. He is also riding a four-game over streak. The season average is 4.7 rebounds, and the road split is slightly better at 4.9. The opponent history is a key add-on, with a 100% hit rate in two games versus Washington. The Wizards are also on a back-to-back, with zero rest days in the schedule data. The best angle is the price. At plus money, BetMGM is offering a much better number than the -138 consensus.

The Betting Edge

This slate has a few props where the market is still giving away price. That is especially true when the best number is sitting at plus money. Keep the process tight. Shop the line.

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Data from Blitz. Stats as of January 27.