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NFL · 8 months ago

Bucky Irving Set to Exploit Commanders’ Weak Run Defense

Sportsgrid Staff

Host · Writer

Bucky Irving Set to Exploit Commanders’ Weak Run Defense

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers head into a crucial matchup against the Washington Commanders, and all eyes are on Bucky Irving. With a rushing yards prop set at 87.5, Irving is positioned to have a standout performance against one of the NFL’s most porous run defenses. Let’s analyze why the over on Irving’s rushing yards is a strong play and explore how the Buccaneers can capitalize on this mismatch.

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Bucky Irving: The Key to Buccaneers’ Ground Game

Bucky Irving has been a consistent force for the Buccaneers this season, and this matchup against the Commanders presents an ideal opportunity for him to shine. Washington’s defense has been a liability against the run, ranking among the league’s worst.

Key Stats: Commanders’ Struggles Against the Run

  • The Commanders have allowed 2,619 rushing yards this season, the third-worst total in the NFL.
  • They give up an average of 154.1 rushing yards per game, making them highly vulnerable to a strong running attack.

Irving’s Recent Trends

  • Irving has surpassed the 87.5-yard mark in two of his last four games.
  • He narrowly missed this number against New Orleans, finishing with 89 yards, which would have cleared the line in some markets.

Why the Over Makes Sense

With Washington’s defensive woes and Irving’s ability to generate big plays, the over on his rushing prop feels attainable. If Tampa Bay can establish the run early, Irving could hit this number by the fourth quarter—or even earlier if the game script remains favorable.

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Betting Insight: Bucky Irving Props

Bucky Irving’s 87.5 rushing yard prop is a high number, but the matchup justifies the optimism. For bettors considering his props, the over offers significant value.

Betting Recommendations

  1. Over 87.5 Rushing Yards: The Commanders’ defensive struggles make this a strong play.
  2. Anytime Touchdown Scorer: Irving’s red-zone usage and big-play ability make him a reliable option for a touchdown bet.
  3. Rushing Attempts Prop: If available, consider betting the over on Irving’s rushing attempts, as Tampa Bay is likely to lean on him heavily.

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Buccaneers’ Game Plan: Control the Clock with the Run Game

To exploit Washington’s defensive vulnerabilities, the Buccaneers must focus on controlling the clock and keeping their offense on the field. Establishing Irving early will open up opportunities for Tampa Bay’s passing game and keep the Commanders’ offense sidelined.

Keys to Success

  1. Heavy Dose of Irving: Lean on Irving for consistent gains to wear down the Commanders’ front seven.
  2. Set Up Play Action: Use the threat of Irving’s running ability to create opportunities for deep passes to receivers like Mike Evans and Jalen McMillan.
  3. Limit Turnovers: A mistake-free offense is crucial to maximizing possessions and keeping control of the game.

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Commanders’ Defensive Woes: A Problem to Exploit

Washington’s inability to stop the run has been a recurring theme this season. Unless the Commanders can load the box effectively and win battles at the line of scrimmage, Irving is likely to have a field day.

What the Commanders Must Address

  • Gap Discipline: The Commanders’ front seven has struggled with maintaining their assignments, leading to big gains on the ground.
  • Tackling Efficiency: Missed tackles have exacerbated their struggles, giving runners like Irving extra yards after contact.

Unfortunately for Washington, these issues aren’t easily fixed midseason, leaving them vulnerable against a strong rushing attack.

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DFS Spotlight: Bucky Irving as a Must-Play Option

For Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) players, Bucky Irving is a premium option in this matchup. His combination of high usage, matchup advantage, and big-play potential makes him a strong building block for lineups.

DFS Tips

  • Cash Games: Irving offers a high floor due to his expected volume and favorable matchup.
  • Tournaments: Pair Irving with a Buccaneers receiver or quarterback for a game stack with significant upside.
  • Pivot Options: If Irving’s price is too steep, consider lower-cost backs with good matchups, but Irving should remain a top target.

Betting Tips for Buccaneers vs. Commanders

  1. Buccaneers – Spread: Tampa Bay’s ability to control the ground game makes them a solid pick to cover the spread.
  2. Total Points Over/Under: If Irving dominates, the game may trend toward the over, especially if Washington can respond offensively.
  3. Player Props: Along with Irving’s rushing props, monitor props for Mike Evans and Jalen McMillan, as the Buccaneers’ passing game could benefit from the attention Irving draws.

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Conclusion: Irving Poised for a Big Day

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are set to capitalize on the Washington Commanders’ glaring weakness against the run. With Bucky Irving leading the charge, Tampa Bay has a clear path to victory by dominating time of possession and keeping Washington’s offense at bay.

From a betting perspective, Irving’s over 87.5 rushing yards and anytime touchdown prop provide excellent value. The Buccaneers have the tools to execute their game plan effectively, making this matchup one to watch for bettors and fans alike.

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