Saturday Doubleheader: 6 Favorite NFL Anytime Touchdown Best Bets

We have an NFL doubleheader set for Saturday afternoon, beginning as the Kansas City Chiefs will host the Houston Texans before the Baltimore Ravens host the Pittsburgh Steelers in an AFC North battle. The touchdown market has a ton of value, so let’s dive into everything you need to know for the night ahead.

How to Approach Derrick Henry (-180)?

Derrick Henry has the shortest odds on the Saturday slate to find the endzone at -180, so how should we best approach him to maximize value? He hasn’t scored in three straight games heading into Saturday, and while that could be a reason to avoid him for most bettors, I think he’s due. Someone of his caliber can’t be held out of the endzone for four straight games, and the Ravens should be motivated to defeat the Steelers after losing their first matchup of the season. To keep this simple, parlay Henry to score with the Ravens for a -110 wager. It doesn’t get easier than that!

Is There Any Steelers Value to be Had?

Looking at the Steelers’ offense, it’s been controlled by Najee Harris and George Pickens for most of the year, and currently, Pickens remains out. Knowing that Saturday’s game could be low-scoring, I’m not optimistic about Russell Wilson having a day throwing the ball. I’ll look to bet Harris. The last time these two teams played, the Steelers kicked six field goals. Harris only has five touchdowns on the season, but I’m willing to bet any player to score at +145 when he’s likely to get the ball 20 times.

Mark Andrews (+195)

Beyond Derrick Henry, I like the +195 price I’m getting on Mark Andrews to score. He’s scored eight times across the last nine weeks, becoming the top red zone threat for Lamar Jackson again. Getting nearly 2-1 odds on someone amid a touchdown streak is a bet I’ll make any day.

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RB1 Value: Joe Mixon (-120) or Isiah Pacheco (+120)?

Comparing the two RB1s for the second half of Saturday’s doubleheader, backing Joe Mixon is the only way to go. I’m not saying to fade Isiah Pacheco outright, but knowing how weird the touchdown distribution has been for the Chiefs, I’m not willing to bet on any of them at a price shorter than +200. Regarding Mixon, -120 is one of the shortest prices we’ve seen on him to score all season, and the Texans want their offense to run through him. He’s scored in nine of 11 games this year, and the Texans will do everything in their power to ensure he gets at least 20 carries with a guarantee for most of the touchdown opportunities within the five-yard line.

Fade: Travis Kelce (+140)

If any popular touchdown bet needs to be faded right now, it has to be Travis Kelce. He’s only scored twice on the year and is no longer the top red-zone threat for the Chiefs, yet he’s still priced at +140 to score. There are better ways to approach betting on the Chiefs.

Top Wide Receiver Options

Looking at this Texans’ passing offense, they go as Nico Collins goes. He’s their top red zone threat through the air and their best deep threat, so getting him at +150 on any given week is a price I’m worth backing him at. Beyond him, guys like Tank Dell and Dalton Schultz aren’t worth sprinkling wagers on to me. If you have any bets you’d look to make on those guys, load up on Collins instead.

We’re already looking to fade Travis Kelce for the Chiefs, partially because Noah Gray has emerged as one of the most potent red zone threats. He’s scored five times across the past five weeks, and we’re getting him at +380 to score on Saturday. Beyond Gray, DeAndre Hopkins is a worthwhile bet at a +240 price, and we can consider betting on Xavier Worthy at +250. All three of those guys are more attractive bets than Pacheco or Kelce.