Target These Fantasy Sleepers on Week 11’s Main Slate
Sportsgrid Staff
Host · Writer
Week 11 in the NFL brings intriguing matchups and fantasy football decisions with a few emerging stars and established players in the spotlight. From Audric Estime to Jaylen Waddle and Quentin Johnston, let’s break down the betting angles, fantasy implications, and matchups worth targeting.
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Audric Estime vs. Atlanta Falcons: A Sleeper Opportunity
Why Estime is a Strong Bet
Audric Estime has taken on an increased role in the Denver Broncos‘ backfield, showcasing power and versatility. While his Week 10 matchup against the Kansas City Chiefs limited his production, this week’s game against the Atlanta Falcons offers a prime opportunity for a breakout:
- Falcons’ Run Defense Weakness: Atlanta ranks in the bottom third of the NFL in run defense, allowing consistent yardage to opposing backs.
- Touchdown Equity: Estime’s powerful running style and Denver’s reliance on the ground game in the red zone boost his chances of scoring.
Take the over on Estime’s rushing yards prop if the line is set around 50-60 yards. Also, consider anytime touchdown scorer odds, as Estimé’s usage near the goal line is promising.
Fantasy Football Start/Sit Advice
Start Estime as a flex option this week, especially in favorable matchups like this one. With Denver’s offense improving under Bo Nix, Estime should have plenty of opportunities to shine.
Tackle the Odds with SportsGrid’s Expert NFL Game Picks and NFL Player Prop Picks.
Jaylen Warren vs. Baltimore Ravens: A Tough Matchup
Why Warren May Struggle
Jaylen Warren has been a productive dual-threat back, but the Baltimore Ravens present a significant challenge:
- Elite Run Defense: Baltimore has one of the league’s best run defenses, allowing minimal explosive plays and consistently stuffing the run.
- Limited Touchdown Opportunities: Baltimore’s ability to control the clock and dominate time of possession limits opposing scoring chances.
Avoid Warren’s rushing yards props. Instead, consider his receiving yards prop, as his involvement in the passing game could yield value.
Fantasy Football Start/Sit Advice
Warren is a risky flex play this week. Start him only if your roster lacks better options, and hope for significant receiving involvement.
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Jaylen Waddle vs. Quentin Johnston: High Risk, High Reward
Case for Quentin Johnston
Quentin Johnston’s role in the Los Angeles Chargers’ offense has grown in recent weeks, and a matchup against the Cincinnati Bengals’ vulnerable secondary could lead to a breakout game:
- Broken Coverages: Cincinnati’s defense frequently allows explosive plays due to miscommunication in the secondary.
- Increased Confidence: Johnston has shown improvement and is becoming more comfortable in the offense.
Bet Quentin Johnston’s receiving yards over, especially if the line is set under 50 yards. His anytime touchdown odds are also appealing, given his red-zone potential.
Case for Jaylen Waddle
Jaylen Waddle remains a big-play threat, but his production has been inconsistent this season. While the Miami Dolphins face the Las Vegas Raiders, who have an average secondary, Waddle’s reliance on Tua Tagovailoa’s accuracy may limit his upside.
Avoid Waddle’s receiving yards props unless the line is unusually low (under 55 yards).
Fantasy Football Start/Sit Advice
- Start Quentin Johnston: His matchup and touchdown equity make him the safer choice.
- Bench Jaylen Waddle: Unless you’re banking on a big play, Waddle’s inconsistency makes him a riskier option.
Key Betting and Fantasy Matchups
Atlanta Falcons vs. Denver Broncos
- Best Bet: Audric Estime’s rushing yards over and anytime touchdown scorer props.
- Fantasy Focus: Start Estime as a flex option.
Baltimore Ravens vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
- Best Bet: Jaylen Warren’s receiving yards over.
- Fantasy Focus: Warren is a risky flex play due to the Ravens’ stout run defense.
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Los Angeles Chargers
- Best Bet: Quentin Johnston’s receiving yards over and anytime touchdown scorer props.
- Fantasy Focus: Start Johnston over similarly ranked wide receivers.
Las Vegas Raiders vs. Miami Dolphins
- Best Bet: Avoid Waddle’s receiving yards props unless the line is very low.
- Fantasy Focus: Waddle’s boom-or-bust nature makes him a riskier start.
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Final Thoughts
Week 11 offers a mix of reliable and high-upside betting opportunities. From Audric Estime’s favorable matchup to Quentin Johnston’s growing role, sharp bettors and fantasy managers have plenty of angles to explore. Focus on matchups and player roles to maximize your success this week.
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