The biggest game of the year is almost here, and Super Bowl LIX between the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles presents a massive opportunity for player prop betting. With Patrick Mahomes and Jalen Hurts set to square off once again, bettors can find great value across a variety of props, from rushing yards and passing totals to receptions and defensive stats.
We’ve analyzed the matchups, recent trends, and statistical edges to assemble our top 10 Super Bowl player prop bets. Whether looking for a value play or a safe pick, these bets offer the best opportunities to cash in on the Super Bowl action.
Super Bowl 59 Props
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1. Kareem Hunt UNDER 43.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
The Philadelphia Eagles have been one of the toughest teams to run against all season, and Kareem Hunt is likely to struggle against their defensive front. While Hunt has been the lead back for the Kansas City Chiefs in the playoffs, carrying the ball 25 times over the last two games, game script could limit his role in this matchup.
The Eagles’ ground game controls the clock, which could force the Chiefs into a more pass-heavy attack. Additionally, Hunt has averaged just 3.7 yards per carry in the postseason, further reinforcing the case for the under.
2. Jalen Hurts 225+ Passing Yards (+122)
Despite dealing with injuries late in the season, Jalen Hurts has been highly efficient in the playoffs, completing 69.6% of his passes and coming off a 246-yard performance in the NFC Championship Game.
The Chiefs’ defense has been stout in the playoffs, but Hurts’ ability to extend plays and push the ball downfield gives him a great shot at surpassing 225 yards. At +122 odds, this is a strong value play.
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3. Isiah Pacheco OVER 22.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
The Chiefs need explosiveness in the run game, and Isiah Pacheco is their best chance to get it. Although he’s been inconsistent since returning from injury, he averaged 5.1 yards per carry against the Eagles in their last Super Bowl matchup.
With limited opportunities, Pacheco could still clear this number if he can break one or two big runs. Kansas City will likely mix him in to keep the defense guessing, making this a solid over bet.
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4. DeVonta Smith 60+ Receiving Yards (+146)
While A.J. Brown gets most of the attention, DeVonta Smith has been the Eagles’ most reliable target in the playoffs, catching all 12 passes thrown his way.
Though Smith hasn’t topped 55 yards since Week 17, his increased efficiency and role in the passing game suggest he’s due for a breakout. Against a Kansas City defense that struggles to contain secondary targets, 60+ yards at +146 odds is a great value bet.
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5. Patrick Mahomes OVER 31.5 Rushing Yards (-111)
This Eagles’ defense generates pressure, and when Patrick Mahomes is forced to escape the pocket, he takes advantage. Mahomes rushed for 43 yards against Buffalo in the AFC Championship and 44 yards in the last Super Bowl vs the Eagles, proving he can extend plays with his legs.
The Eagles’ pass rush will likely leave Mahomes scrambling multiple times, making this a strong bet to go over.
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6. DeVonta Smith 5+ Receptions (+102)
A correlated bet to Smith’s receiving yards, his volume has been slightly lower than normal in the playoffs. However, his target share should increase, with the Eagles expected to pass more in this game.
Philadelphia will likely use quick throws to counter the Chiefs’ pass rush, meaning Smith will see plenty of action underneath. Getting 5+ catches at plus money makes this a worthwhile play.
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7. Patrick Mahomes UNDER 250.5 Passing Yards (-111)
As good as Mahomes is, Philadelphia’s defense is elite against the pass, and they proved it in their last Super Bowl meeting when they held him to just 182 yards through the air.
Kansas City has also leaned more on the run game this postseason, with Mahomes going under this number in both playoff games so far. Given the Eagles’ ability to pressure quarterbacks, expect Mahomes’ passing yards to stay in check.
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8. Jalen Hurts More Pass Attempts Than Patrick Mahomes (+300)
This game script favors Hurts airing it out more than Mahomes, as the Eagles enter as underdogs and may need to throw to stay in the game.
Kansas City has played at a slower pace and leaned on the run game, with Mahomes attempting just 51 passes in the last two games combined. If the Eagles fall behind, expect Hurts to throw more, making +300 odds an excellent longshot bet.
9. Xavier Worthy OVER 53.5 Receiving Yards (-111)
Xavier Worthy has emerged as Kansas City’s top deep threat, giving the Chiefs the explosive playmaker they’ve lacked for most of the season.
Worthy has eclipsed 65 yards in three of his last four games, and the Eagles’ secondary is vulnerable to big plays. Expect Mahomes to take some deep shots, making this a solid over bet.
10. Zack Baun to Record More Tackles + Assists Than Nick Bolton (-205)
Zack Baun has been dominant on defense this postseason, racking up 26 tackles in two games, including 12 in the NFC Championship.
Meanwhile, Nick Bolton has struggled to match that production, tallying just 11 total tackles in the playoffs. The Eagles’ run-heavy scheme should keep Baun active, making this a strong bet despite the juice.
Best Super Bowl LIX Player Prop Bets
- Kareem Hunt UNDER 43.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
- Isiah Pacheco OVER 22.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
- Patrick Mahomes OVER 31.5 Rushing Yards (-111)
- Patrick Mahomes UNDER 250.5 Passing Yards (-111)
- Xavier Worthy OVER 53.5 Receiving Yards (-111)
- Jalen Hurts 225+ Passing Yards (+122)
- DeVonta Smith 60+ Receiving Yards (+146)
- DeVonta Smith 5+ Receptions (+102)
- Jalen Hurts More Pass Attempts Than Patrick Mahomes (+300)
- Zack Baun More Tackles + Assists Than Nick Bolton (-205)
With great value plays across rushing, passing, and defensive categories, these Super Bowl LIX props offer some of the best betting opportunities for the big game.
