2025 NBA Playoffs: Timberwolves vs Thunder Game 3 Most Bet Player Props
Sportsgrid Staff
Host · Writer
With the Western Conference Finals knotted at one game apiece, Game 3 between the Oklahoma City Thunder and Minnesota Timberwolves is shaping up to be a grinder. Defensive intensity is rising, offensive efficiency is dipping, and that’s being reflected clearly in the prop betting market. According to BetMGM, five props have emerged as the most popular ahead of Saturday night’s pivotal tilt—and they all have one thing in common: bettors are fading scoring and stat-stuffing performances.
Let’s break down the top public plays by ticket count and analyze whether the trends match the numbers.
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Most Bet Thunder vs Timberwolves Game 3 Player Props
- Julius Randle under 31.5 points/rebounds/assists -125
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to score 1st field goal +625
- Julius Randle under 18.5 points -120
- Anthony Edwards under 28.5 points -140
- Donte DiVincenzo under 2.5 three-pointers -175
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Timberwolves vs Thunder Game 3 Info
- Location: Target Center – Minneapolis, MN
- Where to Watch: ESPN
- Time: 8:30 PM ET
- Spread: Thunder -3 | Total: 218
- Moneyline: Thunder -148 | Timberwolves +126
Julius Randle under 31.5 Pts+Reb+Ast (-125)
The most bet prop on the board is a full fade of Julius Randle’s stat sheet, and the betting public might be onto something. While Randle has looked solid throughout the postseason, averaging 22.8 PPG, 6.0 RPG, and 5.4 APG, his performance against the Thunder has trended in the opposite direction.
Through two games in this series, Randle is putting up just 16.6 points, 6.5 boards, and 3.0 assists, a combined 26.1 PRA—well under the 31.5 line. His usage rate has dropped, and OKC’s wing-heavy defensive schemes are limiting his ability to facilitate and crash the glass.
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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 1st FG (+550)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been in takeover mode all postseason, and bettors are chasing value on an early strike from the Thunder’s alpha. SGA led the NBA in scoring (32.7 PPG) this season and has stayed hot with 34.5 PPG in this series and 29.8 PPG in the playoffs overall.
With the Thunder often running early actions for their star to set the tone, this bet is getting aggressive action at juicy +625 odds. For bettors looking for a quick sweat, it’s easy to see why this prop is popular.
Julius Randle Under 18.5 points -120
Randle’s scoring dip has bettors fading him from multiple angles. He went well under 19 points in Game 2, with just six on 18% shooting from the field. His struggles aren’t new either—he posted just 11.0 points in his lone regular-season meeting with OKC.
The Thunder’s interior rotations have stifled his downhill drives, and when his outside shot isn’t falling, Randle can become a non-factor offensively. With volume and efficiency both down, bettors are confident this under has legs.
Anthony Edwards Under 28.5 Points (-140)
It’s never fun to fade a scorer as electric as Anthony Edwards, but smart money is doing just that. While Ant is leading Minnesota with 26.3 PPG in the playoffs, he didn’t look good in Game 1, shooting 38.5% from the floor. Against OKC’s length and perimeter pressure, he’s averaging just 22.3 PPG in regular-season matchups and has faced double teams early in sets.
His shot volume remains high, but his efficiency has dipped. As the Timberwolves prioritize balance and defense, Edwards’ scoring ceiling looks a bit capped in this matchup, especially in a game that projects to be low-scoring.
Donte DiVincenzo Under 2.5 Threes (-175)
Donte DiVincenzo was a knockdown threat during the regular season, averaging 2.8 made threes per game on 39.7% shooting. But his postseason production has cratered. He’s hit just 1.6 threes per game on 25.7% shooting during these playoffs and is a combined 5-for-18 in this series—just 27.7%.
The Thunder have closed out hard on Minnesota’s role players, and DiVincenzo’s looks have been tightly contested or forced off the dribble. Bettors are paying the -175 juice for what looks like a low-risk under, and the numbers back them up.
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*All BetMGM Data is based on tickets and straight bets
