Anthony Edwards: The Market’s Missing the Clutch King’s True Value

The Anthony Edwards Clutch Player of the Year market just moved 20 cents overnight, jumping from 41 to 61 cents before settling back to 49. That’s the kind of volatility that screams opportunity – and I’m here to tell you the market is still undervaluing the Minnesota Timberwolves superstar.

Attack the Paint with SportsGrid’s Free NBA Picks and Player Props Markets.

At 49 cents, we’re looking at implied 49% odds for Edwards to take home the hardware. That feels light when you dig into what he’s actually doing in crunch time this season. The market got spooked by something yesterday, but the fundamentals haven’t changed – Edwards is putting together a legitimate Clutch Player campaign.

The Statistical Foundation Is Rock Solid

The numbers paint a clear picture of Edwards’ clutch credentials:

• 29.7 points per game on elite efficiency.
• 49.4% from the field, 40.1% from three.
• Six clutch performances in games decided by three points or fewer with 20-plus points.
• 15 close games (five points or fewer) where he’s averaging nearly 30 per night.
• Ten big games (25-plus points) in those tight contests.

Edwards ranks third in scoring behind only Luka Doncic and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, but here’s the kicker – he’s doing it in more pressure situations. The Timberwolves have played 15 games decided by five points or fewer, tied for the most among top scorers. That’s clutch time personified.

The Signature Moments Keep Coming

Edwards’ recent game log reads like a clutch player’s resume:

• 55 points in a three-point win at San Antonio on January 17 – a franchise-defining performance.
• 44 points on Christmas Day in a four-point thriller against Denver.
• 38 points in a five-point loss at Utah, keeping Minnesota competitive.
• 39 points in Memphis just four days ago, another statement game.

That 55-point explosion against the Spurs stands out as the signature moment of his Clutch Player case: 19-of-33 shooting with nine threes in a game Minnesota won by three points. Those are the performances that win awards.

Minnesota’s Playoff Push Amplifies The Narrative

The Timberwolves sit at 32-20 and sixth in the Western Conference – right in the thick of the playoff race. Edwards isn’t just putting up numbers; he’s carrying a legitimate contender. That matters for voters.

Minnesota’s 4-1 record in their last five with Edwards averaging 29.6 points on 58.1% true shooting shows he’s peaking at the right time. The team’s success directly correlates with his clutch performances, which is exactly what this award is designed to recognize.

The Competition Isn’t Overwhelming

Looking at the clutch performance data, Edwards stacks up well against the field:

• Jaylen Brown leads with eight clutch performances but Boston’s dominance makes his case less compelling.
• Shai Gilgeous Alexander has seven but Oklahoma City hasn’t faced the same pressure situations.
• Luka Doncic only has three despite his scoring numbers, and his recent hamstring injury clouds his availability.

Edwards’ six clutch performances combined with Minnesota’s competitive positioning gives him the perfect narrative. He’s not just a stats compiler – he’s a difference-maker when games matter most.

The Market Correction Creates Value

That 20-cent swing tells me the market is reactive, not predictive. Something spooked traders yesterday – maybe injury concerns, maybe a bad shooting night, maybe just profit-taking after the initial run-up. But the fundamentals that drove Edwards from 41 to 61 cents haven’t changed.

At 49 cents, we’re getting Edwards at a discount from his recent high while the core case remains intact. The Timberwolves have 30 games left to make their playoff push, and Edwards will be the focal point of every clutch situation.

The SportsGrid Betting Edge

I’m backing Edwards at 49 cents. The combination of elite scoring, clutch performances, and team success in a competitive Western Conference creates the perfect storm for a Clutch Player of the Year campaign.

The market overreacted to yesterday’s movement, creating value for sharp bettors who understand what drives award voting. Edwards has the numbers, the moments, and the narrative – everything you need to win hardware in today’s NBA.

Data from Blitz. Stats as of February 6.