NBA Prediction Market Update: Clippers Kalshi Playoff Odds Surge!

Los Angeles Clippers playoff qualification odds are the headline mover on January 28. The contract closed at 53c after opening at 47c, a 12.77% jump that stands out in a crowded playoff board. The news cycle also reflects momentum, with a report noting the Clippers’ 16th win in 19 games.

The other big story is a sharp risk-off move in a few fringe playoff names. Portland’s playoff qualification price fell from 37c to 29c, a 21.62% drop. Milwaukee also took a hit, with its playoff qualification contract down from 13c to 9c, a 30.77% slide.

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Top Kalshi NBA Movers That Mattered

- Los Angeles Clippers Playoff Qualification: jumped from 47c to 53c (up 6c, 12.77%). The move aligns with the news cycle and highlights the Clippers’ sixteenth win in nineteen games.

- Portland Playoff Qualification: dropped from 37c to 29c (down 8c, 21.62%). This is one of the steepest playoff-board repricings in the dataset.

- Milwaukee Playoff Qualification: slid from 13c to 9c (down 4c, 30.77%). At single digits, the market is pricing a very thin path.

- Boston Eastern Conference Title: fell from 24c to 22c (down 2c, 8.33%). It is a meaningful dip in a high-volume conference market.

- Denver Western Conference Title: moved from 19c to 17c (down 2c, 10.53%). That is a notable percentage drop for a contender-tier contract.

- Oklahoma City Championship Odds: declined from 44c to 41c (down 3c, 6.82%). This came even as Oklahoma City’s Western Conference title price ticked up from 51c to 53c.

Kalshi NBA Volume and Order Book Highlights

- Oklahoma City Championship Odds: led the futures board with 14,438 contracts in 24-hour trading volume. The order book also showed heavy depth at 41c on the yes side.

- Boston Championship Odds: posted 17,269 contracts in 24-hour trading volume, one of the busiest markets overall.

- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander MVP: saw 45,688 contracts traded in the last twenty-four hours, the biggest awards-volume signal in the dataset.

- Victor Wembanyama Defensive Player of the Year: traded 20,207 contracts in the last twenty-four hours. It is still a tight market at 33c bid and 34c ask.

- New York Eastern Conference Title: remained extremely active with 8,658 contracts in 24-hour trading volume, despite a flat close.

- Trade market liquidity check – LeBron James next team: the contract showed a very wide market at 23c bid and 62c ask, signaling uncertainty and thin pricing.

Kalshi NBA Notable Markets Worth Watching

- Oklahoma City title stack mismatch: Oklahoma City is 53c to win the West but 41c to win the Finals. That gap is large and remained volatile today.

- Toronto Playoff Qualification: rose from 80c to 86c (up 6c, 7.5%) on strong activity, including 357 contracts in 24-hour trading volume.

- Orlando Playoff Qualification: fell from 80c to 74c (down 6c, 7.5%) with 300 contracts traded in the last twenty-four hours.

- Jonathan Kuminga trade: the “traded by February 6" contract repriced hard, dropping from 70c to 53c (down 17c, 24.29%) on 3,501 contracts in 24-hour volume.

- Anthony Davis next team (stays with Dallas or retires): surged from 67c to 86c (up 19c, 28.36%). The market is heavily leaning toward no change.