Top NBA Player Prop Picks to Target for Tuesday, January 20

Seven NBA games headline Tuesday’s slate. There’s also a lot of back-to-back noise in the schedule. That makes it a good night to lean on props with strong hit rates and opponent-specific history.

After scanning every market in the data, four spots stand out. Each one has multiple angles working together, not just recent form.

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Nikola Vucevic Over 29.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists

Los Angeles Clippers @ Chicago Bulls Matchup

• Arena: United Center
• Location: Chicago, IL
• TV: NBA League Pass
• Date: January 20, 2026
• Time: 08:00 PM ET

Odds as of January 20, 2026, at 8:35 AM ET

Nikola Vucevic enters tonight’s matchup with 90% hit rate in his last ten games on this PRA line. He’s also on a three-game over streak. Vucevic has cleared 29.5 in two of three games against the Clippers. His season average sits at 30.0 PRA, which keeps the line honest. The floor-to-ceiling band is strong too, with a projected floor of 22.0 and a ceiling of 37.0.

Royce O’Neale Over 15.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists

Phoenix Suns @ Philadelphia 76ers Matchup

• Arena: Wells Fargo Center
• Location: Philadelphia, PA
• TV: NBA League Pass
• Date: January 20, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
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Odds as of January 20, 2026, at 8:35 AM ET

Royce O’Neale is the cleanest combo look on the board. He has a 100% hit rate in his last five games and an 80% in his previous ten over 15.5 PRA. He’s also riding a five-game over streak. O’Neale’s season average is 18.6 PRA, with a 23.0 ceiling that clears this number comfortably. The matchup data is fine, with 50% hit rate in four games versus Philadelphia. And at plus money, the best price is doing real work.

Victor Wembanyama Over 9.5 Rebounds

San Antonio Spurs @ Houston Rockets Matchup

• Arena: Toyota Center
• Location: Houston, TX
• TV: NBA League Pass
• Date: January 20, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET
•  

Odds as of January 20, 2026, at 8:35 AM ET

Victor Wembanyama gets a strong rebound setup at a fair number. He’s cleared 9.5 boards in 50% of his last ten games and owns a 10.8 season rebound average. The opponent history is the separator. Wembanyama has hit this line in 62.5% of his previous eight games against Houston. The Rockets also rank 30th in this defensive split, allowing just 4.3 (league average 5.4). That’s not a green light matchup. Still, the projected floor of 8.0 and ceiling of 14.0 keep the over live, and the plus-money price helps.

LeBron James Over 22.5 Points

Los Angeles Lakers @ Denver Nuggets Matchup

• Arena: Ball Arena
• Location: Denver, CO
• TV: NBA League Pass
• Date: January 20, 2026
• Time: 10:00 PM ET
•  

Odds as of January 20, 2026, at 8:35 AM ET

LeBron James is a value play at this price. He’s cleared 22.5 in 70% of his last ten games and averages 22.6 points on the season. The Denver history is the key. James has hit this line in 80% of his previous ten games against the Nuggets. His road scoring is also higher, at 23.9 points away versus 21.7 at home. At plus money, the best price creates a clean edge if this stays near a coin flip.

The Betting Edge

This slate has enough back-to-back spots to create volatility. That’s why the best props are the ones with stable hit rates and opponent-specific support. Shop the number, take the best price, and let the math do the work. 

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Data from Blitz. Stats as of January 20.