Betting & Fantasy Insights Into the Steelers Clash vs Ravens

The Pittsburgh Steelers face a challenging Week 11 matchup against their AFC North rival, the Baltimore Ravens. This classic rivalry is expected to bring fireworks, and while the Ravens boast a strong run defense, there are betting and fantasy opportunities for sharp bettors to exploit. Here’s a breakdown from the Steelers’ perspective.

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Steelers Betting and Fantasy Focus: Airing It Out Against Baltimore

Why the Steelers Should Avoid the Ground Game

Baltimore’s rush defense is among the NFL’s best, allowing just 730 rushing yards this season—the second-fewest in the league. For fantasy managers and bettors, this doesn’t bode well for Najee Harris, who faces a nightmare matchup:

Ravens rank 4th in fewest rushing yards allowed per game.
They have the 9th lowest explosive run rate allowed.
Their missed tackle rate is among the league’s lowest, indicating disciplined run defense.

Fade Harris in rushing props. His total rushing yards line might be inflated based on name recognition alone. Instead, consider Jaylen Warren’s receiving yards prop, as he’s more likely to be used in the passing game.

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Steelers’ Path to Success: Exploit Baltimore’s Weak Secondary

The Ravens’ glaring weakness lies in their pass defense, which has surrendered the most passing yards in the NFL this season. This opens the door for Pittsburgh’s passing game, especially for wide receiver George Pickens and tight end Pat Freiermuth.

Baltimore has allowed 3,146 passing yards, the highest in the league.
Pickens thrives as a deep threat and should benefit from Baltimore’s susceptibility to big plays.

Back George Pickens’ receiving yards over or consider him for an anytime touchdown scorer bet. He’s poised to be the focal point of Pittsburgh’s offense in this matchup.

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Fantasy Football Outlook: Who to Start and Sit

Start: George Pickens

Pickens is a must-start in this matchup given Baltimore’s struggles against wide receivers. Expect him to see high-volume targets as the Steelers lean heavily on the passing game.

Stream: Pat Freiermuth

With the Ravens focusing on limiting big plays, Freiermuth could quietly have a productive game. As a reliable red-zone target, he’s a sneaky streaming option at tight end.

Sit: Najee Harris

Harris faces an uphill battle against a stout Ravens front. His lack of involvement in the passing game further limits his upside, especially with Jaylen Warren cutting into his workload.

If you must start Harris, look for high-upside players in your flex position to offset a potentially low-scoring game from him.

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Betting Picks: How to Approach Steelers vs. Ravens

Game Total: Avoid the Under

While Steelers-Ravens games are traditionally low-scoring slugfests, this matchup could break the mold. Baltimore’s offensive firepower, combined with Pittsburgh’s aerial approach, might push the game total higher than expected.

Betting Pick: Consider betting the over on total points, especially if the line is set in the mid-40s.

Player Props to Watch

George Pickens Receiving Yards: Look for a prop line in the 60-70 yard range and take the over.
Jaylen Warren Receiving Yards: Warren’s role as a pass-catcher makes him an intriguing option, especially if his line is below 20 yards.
Pat Freiermuth Anytime Touchdown: With favorable red-zone usage, Freiermuth is a solid bet for a score.

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Key Takeaways for Steelers Fans and Bettors

Avoid banking on the run game: Baltimore’s elite rush defense will stifle Najee Harris.
Focus on passing opportunities: George Pickens and Pat Freiermuth are poised to shine against Baltimore’s porous secondary.
Target value in prop bets: Pickens and Warren offer strong upside in receiving yards markets.
Rethink traditional assumptions: This Steelers-Ravens matchup might be higher-scoring than usual.

Whether you’re a Steelers fan or a bettor looking for an edge, focusing on Pittsburgh’s passing game and key matchups is the path to success this week.