Daily NBA Prediction Markets Wrapped: Kalshi Market Movers

Detroit’s top-end futures got yanked in two directions. Detroit’s best-record odds ripped higher, while Detroit’s title odds got hit hard. That split is the cleanest “regular season vs. playoffs" argument on the board today.

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Top Kalshi NBA Movers That Mattered

Detroit Pistons Best Regular-Season Record: up from 15c to 21c (40.0%). The market is paying up for Detroit’s top-of-the-table path.

Detroit Pistons Championship Odds: down from 9c to 6c (-33.33%). Traders are separating “best record" from “win four rounds."

New York Knicks Eastern Conference One Seed: up from 4c to 15c (275.0%). It’s still a low-probability ticket, but the repricing was violent.

San Antonio Spurs Western Conference One Seed: down from 25c to 12c (-52.0%). That is a major reset for a market that was previously priced like a coin flip.

Portland Trail Blazers Playoff Qualification: up from 27c to 44c (62.96%). Big move, and it came with heavy activity at 2,163 contracts in 24-hour volume.

Atlanta Hawks Playoff Qualification: down from 43c to 36c (-16.28%). The market is fading Atlanta’s path back into the field.

Boston Celtics Eastern Conference Title: up from 20c to 23c (15.0%). That move also came with 16,490 contracts in 24-hour volume, one of the busiest futures markets today.

Victor Wembanyama Defensive Player of the Year: up from 60c to 69c (15.0%). The market is consolidating around Wembanyama at the top.

Nikola Jokic MVP: up from 22c to 28c (27.27%). That’s a meaningful jump in a high-liquidity awards market.

Austin Reaves All-Star Selection: up from 2c to 94c (4600.0%). The contract is now priced like a near-lock, but liquidity is still messy.

Joel Embiid All-Star Selection: down from 30c to 5c (-83.33%). A brutal collapse into longshot territory.

James Harden All-Star Selection: down from 7c to 1c (-85.71%). The market is essentially closing the door.

Kalshi NBA Volume And Order Book Highlights

Oklahoma City Thunder Championship Odds traded 41,362 contracts in 24-hour volume. The price slipped from 40c to 38c (-5.0%).

San Antonio Spurs Championship Odds traded 62,507 contracts in 24-hour volume. The contract sits at 9c last with a 8c bid / 9c ask.

Boston Celtics Championship Odds traded 70,381 contracts in 24-hour volume. Pricing is tight at 6c bid / 8c ask.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander MVP traded 36,017 contracts in 24-hour volume. The contract moved from 66c to 63c (-4.55%).

Cleveland Cavaliers Championship Odds traded 35,135 contracts in 24-hour volume. The market is still low at 6c bid / 8c ask.

Portland‘s playoff market is active but not tight. It’s 33c bid / 37c ask, with the day’s close marked at 44c.

Austin Reaves All-Star is the definition of a broken order book. It shows 13c bid / 94c ask with 94c last.

Kalshi NBA Notable Markets Worth Watching

Oklahoma City Thunder West vs. title pricing: Oklahoma City is 51c bid / 52c ask to win the West, but only 38c bid / 39c ask to win it all. That gap is where traders are expressing Finals uncertainty.

Detroit Pistons‘ “best record" vs. “championship" disconnect: Detroit is 17c bid / 22c ask for best record, but only 7c bid / 8c ask for the title. The market is daring bettors to pick a side.

LeBron James next team market is moving: “Stays with Los Angeles Lakers or retires" fell from 40c to 33c (-17.5%). “Cleveland Cavaliers" is 44c last and moved 3.7%.

Donovan Mitchell three-pointers leader: up from 11c to 19c (72.73%) with 928 contracts in 24-hour volume. That is a real momentum signal in a niche market.