Penn State Nittany Lions Orange Bowl Top 5 Player Props | CFP Semifinals Best Bets

Drew Allar Under 10.5 Rushing Yards

Our final selection is another under on a Drew Allar prop. The Nittany Lions quarterback has had a limited workload in carrying the ball this season, and his rushing total reflects that. Still, we expect Allar to fall below 10.5 rushing yards in the Orange Bowl.

Rushing the ball is not a priority for Allar. While he had 11 rushing attempts in the Fiesta Bowl, Allar mustered -4 rushing yards in those attempts. That was the second straight game in which he's fallen below 10 rushing yards and the third time he's failed to eclipse that benchmark over his last five. 

Notre Dame has done well containing opposing quarterbacks, and Allar will likely suffer a similar fate. The junior projects to fall below 10.5 rushing yards in Thursday's semifinal matchup.

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Kaytron Allen Over 58.5 Rushing Yards

Of course, what makes Penn State exceptional is its two-headed rushing attack. Singleton and Kaytron Allen go together like Batman and Robin, with both players assuming the lead superhero role. Allen has been on an upward trajectory and could hit his crescendo against the Fighting Irish. 

Allen has been on an unstoppable tear. While working out of a timeshare role, the junior has churned out a mind-numbing 328 rushing yards over the last three contests. What's most impressive about that production is he's done so on just 42 carries for a robust 7.8 yards per carry. 

Allen has big play potential every time he touches the football. His semifinal rushing total reflects his timeshare role and Notre Dame's effective run defense. Nevertheless, Allen should blow past this on Thursday. 

Spread: Notre Dame -2.5 | Moneyline: Notre Dame -137 | Total: 49.5

Tyler Warren Under 65.5 Receiving Yards

Tyler Warren has been Drew Allar's safety blanket all season. The hulking tight end leads the team in receptions, targets, and receiving yards, albeit with a diminishing ceiling in the latter part of the season. His receiving yard prop appears to have been set too high as Penn State tries to dissect an elite Notre Dame defense. 

As is typically the case with tight ends, Warren's route tree is limited to short-to-intermediate routes. While he has 17 catches over his last three games, he's eclipsed 63 receiving yards just once over that span. Moreover, he's averaging 10.6 yards per reception. That puts him below his season-long average of 11.8 and makes for a challenging equation in going over 65.5 receiving yards. 

Warren needs seven receptions to surpass 65.5 receiving yards based on his recent averages. Against a tough Fighting Irish defense, we don't see that happening. 

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Drew Allar Under 183.5 Passing Yards

Likewise, Drew Allar will have difficulty picking apart Notre Dame's secondary. The Irish have the fourth-ranked passing defense versus FBS opponents, holding teams to just 167.5 passing yards per game this season. Consequently, we don't foresee Allar surpassing 183.5 yards in the Orange Bowl.

Penn State's rush-heavy offensive attack also impacts Allar's limited ceiling. The Nittany Lions call rushing plays 57.0% of the time, a standard they've maintained into the postseason. From a game script perspective, running the ball will be a priority on Thursday as they aim to keep Notre Dame's offense off the field. 

His 47 passing attempts in two playoff games are underwhelming, but Allar's 26 completions are even more disheartening. Those totals won't help Allar surpass his passing yard prop against Notre Dame.

CFP Power Rankings: Quarterbacks | Coaches | Offenses | Defenses

Drew Allar Under 10.5 Rushing Yards

Our final selection is another under on a Drew Allar prop. The Nittany Lions quarterback has had a limited workload in carrying the ball this season, and his rushing total reflects that. Still, we expect Allar to fall below 10.5 rushing yards in the Orange Bowl.

Rushing the ball is not a priority for Allar. While he had 11 rushing attempts in the Fiesta Bowl, Allar mustered -4 rushing yards in those attempts. That was the second straight game in which he's fallen below 10 rushing yards and the third time he's failed to eclipse that benchmark over his last five. 

Notre Dame has done well containing opposing quarterbacks, and Allar will likely suffer a similar fate. The junior projects to fall below 10.5 rushing yards in Thursday's semifinal matchup.

Stay ahead of the game and elevate your sports betting experience with SportsGrid.